The BYU Cougars take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in Lubbock, Texas, on Saturday, Nov. 8. Kickoff is set for 12 p.m. ET on ABC.
Texas Tech is favored by 10 points on the spread with a moneyline of -380. BYU, meanwhile, comes into the game as a +10 underdog and is +300 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 52.5 total points.
Here’s my BYU vs. Texas Tech prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 8.
BYU vs Texas Tech Prediction
- BYU vs. Texas Tech Pick: Under 52
My Texas Tech vs. BYU best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
BYU vs Texas Tech Odds
| BYU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | +300 |
| Texas Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | -380 |
- BYU vs Texas Tech Spread: Texas Tech -10, BYU +10
- BYU vs Texas Tech Over/Under: 52.5 Points
- BYU vs Texas Tech Moneyline: BYU +300, Texas Tech -380
BYU vs Texas Tech College Football Betting Preview
BYU Cougars Betting Preview: Bachmeier Running Wild
After receiving a high mark in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, BYU will look to remain undefeated on the season with a trip to Lubbock.
The Cougars are led by quarterback Bear Bachmeier and his 2o all-purpose touchdowns.
BYU boasts a heavy rush offense with a 60% rate, utilizing zone read concepts and a touch of power to create an FBS rank of sixth in quality drives.
With star running back LJ Martin listed as doubtful for Week 11, Bachmeier is set to be the centerpiece of the offense.
Defensive coordinator Jay Hill continues to field a vicious unit against the pass, ranking top-25 in both Success Rate allowed and contested catches.
The nickel defense rarely sends extra rushers when blitzing, which has kept the Cougars' numbers down from a pressure standpoint. However, the payoff has been a top-20 rank in opponent pass explosives.
Getting behind the sticks against BYU has generally meant failure for the opposing offense, as the Cougars sit top-15 in opponent third downs and passing downs EPA.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview: Dominant Defense
The defense has been the story for Texas Tech, dating back to the additions through the portal, thanks to hefty NIL backing.
The Red Raiders not only rank as the best coverage unit in the nation, but they're also top-three in Havoc and pass rush. Edge defenders David Bailey and Romello Height are the chaos generators with a combined 95 pressures on the season.
Quarterback Behren Morton must remain healthy for the remainder of the season after multiple seasons with injuries.
The fifth-year senior has 15 passing touchdowns to just four interceptions, a bump in production thanks to just 50 pressured dropbacks on the season.
While the offensive line has been fantastic when it comes to protecting the quarterback, the rushing attack has been hampered by inefficient play.
The heavy inside zone ground attack has a poor mark of 124th in Line Yards, a measurement of how many rushing yards can be attributed to the offensive line.
BYU vs Texas Tech Pick, Betting Analysis
The BYU defense will be prepared to stop the Red Raiders' inside zone read concepts, led by running back Cameron Dickey and J'Koby Williams.
Texas Tech has been poor on the offensive line, leaving both Williams and Dickey to produce a minimum of 3.5 yards after first contact.
BYU's defense sits mid-FBS in broken and missed tackles allowed, indicating that most rushing attempts will be boom or bust. Texas Tech will want to avoid passing downs against the Cougars' Cover 1 and Cover 3 secondary.
The biggest handicap in the game is Bachmeier's legs against Texas Tech's defense. The Cougars rely solely on zone read concepts, with outside zone being the more explosive.
The Texas Tech defense has dominated those concepts, producing a 65% Success Rate against outside zone and a 71% Success Rate against inside zone.
Texas Tech has faced a number of mobile quarterbacks on the schedule, limiting Utah's Devon Dampier to 27 yards on 11 carries. If an Avery Johnson explosive was removed in Week 10, the Kansas State quarterback would have been limited to 52 yards on 12 rushing attempts.
Without Martin to help run the ground game for BYU, there will be limitations to scoring for a Cougars team that ranks 60th in Finishing Drives.
Pick: Under 52 or Better
BYU vs Texas Tech Betting Trends
