College Football Bowl Predictions for Week 1: Brett McMurphy’s Projections With Projected Spreads
Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: A Notre Dame football helmet.
Any hopes of my preseason bowl projections finishing a perfect 41-for-41 are officially over. It only took one week, and my quest for perfection was crushed as bad as Navy’s rush defense against Notre Dame.
Arizona State, which I projected last week in the Independence Bowl, self-imposed a one-year bowl ban Sunday. With the Sun Devils officially eliminated from bowl contention, this week’s bowl projections will look a little different.
Even though there were only seven FBS games last week, I made several changes this week to my Week 1 projections. The changes are based on last week’s results (goodbye, UTEP — for now) and I also revisited Action Network’s projected win totals by swapping in five new teams this week (hello, Missouri, Boston College, Coastal Carolina, Louisiana and South Florida).
Each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Michigan -4 Florida State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -5.5 Ohio State |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Washington -0.5 Alabama | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Oregon -11 Tulane |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL Clemson PK Penn State | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Texas Tech LSU -4.5 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL Tennessee Wisconsin -6 | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL Notre Dame -4.5 Texas A&M | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ San Diego St. -1 NIU | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Arkansas -3 Illinois | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Kentucky -7 TCU | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Duke -6.5 Arizona | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Auburn PK Louisville | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Texas -5 USC | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL UNC -7 Kansas State | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY NC State Iowa -1 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Boston College Memphis -12 | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Mississippi St. Oklahoma -6 | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Pittsburgh Oregon State -12 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Ole Miss -11.5 Miami | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Syracuse -12.5 Navy | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Maryland Baylor PK | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX Oklahoma St. Missouri -7 | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -16 C. Michigan | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI UNLV SMU -7.5 | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV Utah -17.5 Nebraska | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL S. Alabama -15 San Jose St. | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Air Force -9 Miami OH | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX Fresno State BYU -9.5 | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL App State Rice -4.5 | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL Wake Forest Florida -8.5 | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL S. Carolina -1.5 Kansas | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL Marshall -2.5 South Florida | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX Colorado St. Louisiana -5 | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC FAU -10.5 Ohio | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA UCF -5 North Texas | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA UCLA -9 Boise State | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM Wyoming -1 UTSA | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL Coastal Carolina Toledo -8.5 | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA Troy -9 WKU | Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Nassau, Bahamas Ball State Liberty -6 |
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