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College Football Picks, Predictions: Expert Week 8 Early Bet for Army vs. Tulsa

College Football Picks, Predictions: Expert Week 8 Early Bet for Army vs. Tulsa article feature image
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Tulsa QB Baylor Hayes.

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Week 8 of the college football season has arrived.

After a loss followed four straight early bet wins, we got back on track with a dominant Texas Tech victory and cover over Arizona State in Week 7. Now, we'll turn ur attention to a Friday night American Conference clash.

Let's dive into my college football picks and NCAAF predictions for Army vs. Tulsa in Week 8 below. For more college football picks and analysis, download the Action Network app today.


College Football Picks for Army vs. Tulsa

Army  Logo
Friday, Oct. 23
8:30 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Tulsa Logo
Army Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-110
53.5
-115o / -105u
-102
Tulsa Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-110
53.5
-115o / -105u
-118
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
FanDuel Logo

The Early Pick of the Week continues to dominate this season at 5-1 following a Texas Tech cover in Week 7.

This week, we move to the American, where Tulsa is set to host Army. The Golden Hurricane find themselves in a must-win spot at 1-2 in the conference standings.

The Black Knights have raced out to a 3-1 start in the American after boat-racing Florida Atlantic in Week 7. These teams squared off in a thriller a year ago, as Tulsa needed 12 points in the fourth quarter to secure a one-point victory.

The key to this game could be the Tulsa defense facing a third consecutive triple option team after playing both Navy and Rice on the road.

Now, the Golden Hurricanes come home to Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium ready to face another team that thrives on dive, quarterback keeper and pitches.

Defensive coordinator Josh Reardon has created a moderate Success Rate for the Tulsa defense against the run concepts Army will bring to T-Town.

Man assignment blocking, outside zone and power are all part of the Black Knights' attack. Tulsa has generated a negative play on 10% of defensive snaps against outside zone and man.

On the other side of the ball, Tulsa quarterback Baylor Hayes now sits at eight touchdowns to a single interception this season.

The Golden Hurricane have a number of advantages against a poor Army defense that has faced one of the easiest schedules in the nation. The Black Knights still sit near dead last in pass rush, Havoc and limiting rush explosives.

Tulsa comes in as one of the most explosive rushing teams in the nation, ranking 25th in Rush EPA via counter and power run concepts. Army has just a 26% Success Rate against teams using counter this season.

Running backs Damari Alston and Trequan Jones have exceeded the 10-yard mark on 12 different rushing attempts this season with a combined nine rushing touchdowns.

Tulsa projects as a 2.5-point favorite using Action Network's Betting Power Ratings.

The Golden Hurricane were actionable for the full game on Sunday openers, but the better bet might be on the first half. Tulsa has been well prepared for the early game script with the exception of Week 2, the first road trip of the season at Sam Houston.

Pick: Tulsa 1H ML -120 or Better

Author Profile
About the Author

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well. As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017. Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

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