2026 College Football Playoff Odds, Picks — Peach Bowl
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Let's make the most of the last two college football games.
Ducks vs. Hoosiers should be an instant classic, as the last head-to-head meeting was, when Indiana scored 10 unanswered after Oregon tied the game in the fourth quarter, eeking out a 30-20 road win.
Will Dan Lanning and Dante Moore get their revenge? Or, will Curt Cignetti and Fernando Mendoza inch closer to a perfect season?
Our experts have takes on all of that and more, so let's take a look at the College Football Playoff odds and our Oregon vs. Indiana picks for the 2026 Peach Bowl.
Indiana vs. Oregon Spread Best Bet
Indiana will methodically drive the ball into Oregon territory thanks to the combination of Hemby and Black on the ground.
If the Hoosiers fall into passing downs, the Ducks will have the advantage with one of the best pass coverage units in FBS.
The issue for Oregon is the lack of elite run defense against inside-zone and man-run concepts. However, the Hoosiers won't have the benefit of free yards, as the Ducks rank eighth in broken tackles allowed.
If Indiana stays on schedule, Oregon should give up points in a similar fashion to the five red-zone attempts and three touchdowns scored by the Hoosiers in Week 7.
If the Indiana offense falls into passing downs, the Ducks will have the upper hand after limiting Fernando Mendoza to zero big-time throws earlier this season.
Mendoza did throw an interception against Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game and also logged a turnover-worthy play against Alabama in the Rose Bowl.
Now, the Heisman winner will have a new-look Ducks defense that has peeled off Cover 3.
A Mendoza interception prop should have enough positive juice to warrant a play backing an Oregon defense that gave the Heisman winner his toughest day of the season.
Oregon will be thankful to be on the fast track of the Mercedes-Benz Stadium with improved health for the wide receiver group.
Explosive passes may be the Ducks' key to generating scoring attempts, as Indiana falls outside the top 25 in 10-plus-yard passes allowed.
Dante Moore had an average depth of target of just 6.2 yards against Texas Tech, but Oregon posted four passing plays over 20 yards in that game.
Moore should find a way get down the field against an Indiana defense that struggles to contain explosives in passing downs.
Action Network projects Indiana as a 3.5-point favorite, but the current version of Oregon is evolving.
Tosh Lupoi’s defense has thrown wrinkles to disguise coverages and potential blitzes since the start of the CFP against James Madison.
Offensively, returning players at the wideout position give a multi-dimensional offense even more tools to create explosive plays in space.
Pick: Oregon +4 or Better
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Indiana vs. Oregon First-Half Bet
By Joshua Nunn
Indiana has absolutely proven that they belong as the front-runner in these FBS playoffs, and it has spoken loudest in the trenches.
When looking at the Hoosiers’ most recent two-game stretch, it’s evident that their defensive line was superior to both Ohio State and Alabama.
I figure that'll be the case against the Ducks.
Alabama could not run the ball against Indiana, as the Tide had just 23 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Indiana was more physical at the point of attack and forced Alabama behind schedule, which proved too much for Ty Simpson.
The same script played out against Ohio State, where the Buckeyes could not generate any rush productivity. 58 rushing yards (a Buckeye season low) on 26 attempts validated that Indiana can hang with anybody in the trenches.
I expect the Hoosiers to control the line of scrimmage on defense against Oregon.
Indiana does not surrender big, chunk plays through the air, and the secondary is excellent at making everything a contested catch. The Hoosiers have given up just seven passing touchdowns all season while intercepting 17 opponent passes, and the throwing lanes just become impossible against this buttoned-up stop unit.
Neither Oregon nor Indiana is going to play exceptionally fast here, as both rank in the bottom-25 among FBS squads in seconds per play.
Since Indiana played in that thrilling come-from-behind win against Penn State back in November, we have seen the Hoosiers fully locked in defensively from the opening kick. They’ve allowed just two first-half touchdowns combined in their past four games.
The Hoosiers do not make mistakes, they do not get beat deep, and they force field goals in the red zone. I expect this to continue here.
In the first meeting between these two in Eugene, we had one explosive play in the first half, a Malik Benson 44-yard touchdown pass. Every other drive required methodical ball movement by stacking successful plays one on top of another.
We didn’t see the offensive execution rise above defensive playmaking in that first half, and the result was three field goals and two touchdowns. I believe it will require more methodical drives to put points on the board, and you are still likely to see field goals in the red zone here.
The scoring might open up here in this one, but I believe that will happen once one of these teams starts to play with desperation. I don’t see this one getting to that point in the first half, so I expect slow pace, methodical drives, and minimal big plays.
Pick: 1H Under 23.5 or Better
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Indiana vs. Oregon Team Total Bet
By RoadToCFB
I would certainly hope that Dan Lanning and the Ducks revisit the Week 7 tape and make some adjustments. After all, the offense scored one touchdown and gained just 81 yards on the ground.
The problem is that Oregon is down that game’s leading rusher in Jordon Davison (59 yards, 7.4 YPC).
It was a multi-pronged approach, with seven players carrying the ball and nine players catching it at least once. The only consistency the offense had was that quarterback Dante Moore would attempt the passes.
I wasn’t overly impressed with the way Oregon operated on offense against Texas Tech.
The Ducks moved the ball pretty well, but there were too many self-inflicted mistakes, largely coming from Moore’s inability to catch a snap, the center’s inability to get him the snap, and mesh points being messy, and the ball ending up on the deck.
So you remove the team’s leading short-yardage back plus a couple of rotators to the transfer portal, and now there’s a ton of pressure on Noah Whittington to carry the load.
Indiana operates in a way that’s crushing to teams.
Thanks to a ferocious pass rush, the Hoosiers can sit back and allow Rolijah Hardy and Isaiah Jones to force quarterbacks to get rid of the ball or tuck and run.
Then, when the offense scores twice, it induces panic and leads teams to rely too heavily on their quarterbacks to bail them out (see: Big Ten Championship, Week 7 vs. Oregon).
Moore has been really good at times, and not so good at others.
Against Indiana the first time, it was not as good. He was pressured 20 times (a season-high) and took six sacks – 40% of his entire season’s total.
This is an Indiana defense capable of crushing any opposing offense’s bones to dust. The suffocating weight of an inevitable pass rush is enough to force coordinators to overthink, even ones as sharp as Will Stein.
I don’t see a two-touchdown jump in production for the Ducks. Curt Cignetti smells blood in the water.
Pick: Oregon TT Under 21.5 Points
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Indiana vs. Oregon Player Prop Bet
By Doug Ziefel
These two teams combined for 50 points in their regular-season meeting, and the market has come in on this total, up throughout the week.
With offense expected, we should expect Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza to be right in the middle of it.
Against Alabama, I faded Mendoza successfully, but it was tight because he remained hyper efficent through the air.
If Indiana is going to move on, Mendoza will need to test the Oregon secondary, which has allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in the nation. And the Hoosiers' passing attack is a true test for an Oregon secondary that has not been tested consistently.
In the first meeting, Mendoza tossed one touchdown pass, but created big plays with Elijah Sarratt and Omar Cooper Jr.
Look for Mendoza to shine again as he leads his team to the National Championship game.
Pick: Fernando Mendoza Over 1.5 Pass TDs
