The Colorado State Rams take on the New Mexico Lobos in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET on the Mountain West Network.
New Mexico is favored by 14.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -650. The total is set at 53.5 points.
Here’s my Colorado State vs. New Mexico prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
Colorado State vs New Mexico Prediction
- Colorado St vs. New Mexico Pick: Colorado State +14.5 (-110, bet365)
My New Mexico vs. Colorado St best bet is on the Rams to cover as road 'dogs. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Colorado State vs New Mexico Odds
| Colorado St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -110 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | +475 |
| New Mexico Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -110 | 53.5 -110o / -110u | -650 |
- Colorado State vs New Mexico point spread: New Mexico -14.5 (-110), Colorado State +14.5 (-110)
- Colorado State vs New Mexico over/under: 53.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Colorado State vs New Mexico moneyline: Colorado State +475, New Mexico -650
Colorado State vs New Mexico Pick
This game activated one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
Undervalued Road Dogs Wider Sample is a college football system that expands on the idea that large road underdogs often hold more value than the market expects.
During the regular season, when the spread falls between 7.5 and 21.5 points, the public typically assumes the favorite will dominate, especially when the underdog is on a losing streak away from home.
However, teams in this range often perform better than expected, particularly when their Pythagorean rating shows they are still competitive within 30 points of expectation.
The system also narrows in on games with a closing total of 55.5 or lower, meaning the contest is not projected to be a high-scoring shootout, which naturally makes it harder for the favorite to separate by a wide margin.
When betting action on the spread leans heavily toward the favorite, the line often becomes inflated, leaving value on the underdog.
By combining perception, moderate totals, and statistical indicators of competitiveness, this system consistently uncovers road teams that stay within the number.
Pick: Colorado State +14.5 (-110, bet365)
