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Florida vs. UCF Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Gasparilla Bowl

Florida vs. UCF Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Gasparilla Bowl article feature image

James Gilbert/Getty Images. Pictured: Rey Dean III (0) of the Florida Gators.

Florida vs. UCF Odds

Florida Odds -7.5
UCF Odds +7.5
Over/Under 57
Date Dec. 23
Location Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida

Florida is set to take on UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl on Dec. 23 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Gasparilla Bowl below.

Florida vs. UCF Projected Odds

Florida Spread -5.5
UCF Spread +5.5
Over/Under 59.3

These Florida vs. UCF projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Florida Reached the Gasparilla Bowl

Dan Mullen led Florida to an SEC title game in 2020, but he didn’t even last the duration of the 2021 campaign before getting canned.

The Gators put up a fight in the first half of the season. They won their first two games, nearly beat Alabama and pummeled Tennessee by 24 all in the month of September.

Nothing went right from mid-October on.

Florida lost to LSU as a 12.5-point favorite, got pounded by Georgia, fell to South Carolina as three-score chalk and nearly lost to Samford. An overtime loss to Missouri as a 9.5-point favorite was the nail in the coffin for Mullen, whose players ironically rallied to beat Florida State in the finale.

The Gators closed the regular season with a 3-9 mark against the number. They haven’t covered a spread since Oct. 9.

How UCF Reached the Gasparilla Bowl

After a mediocre 3-3 start to the season, Central Florida circled the wagons to win five of its last six games to post an 8-4 overall record.

While that may be enough to satisfy the UCF faithful, college football bettors have a bone to pick with the Knights.

Central Florida was straight-up terrible against the number this season, finishing just 3-8 against the spread (ATS), which is somewhat surprising considering its eight wins on the year.

Interestingly, the Knights were favored in nine games this season, showing that the betting market pegged them as the better team in all but two matchups, but UCF struggled when laying points, evidenced by their 3-6 ATS record in those contests.

Florida vs. UCF Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Florida and UCF match up statistically:

Florida Offense vs. UCF Defense
Rush Success 28 70
Line Yards 31 64
Pass Success 23 26
Pass Blocking** 58 95
Big Play 66 74
Havoc 64 26
Finishing Drives 39 44
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

UCF Offense vs. Florida Defense
Rush Success 23 86
Line Yards 22 91
Pass Success 84 32
Pass Blocking** 6 21
Big Play 21 26
Havoc 85 75
Finishing Drives 14 73
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 67 109
Coverage 103 19
Middle 8 58 11
SP+ Special Teams 72 112
Plays per Minute 68 100
Rush Rate 55.1% (64) 53.9% (74)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Gasparilla Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 23
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
  • TV Info: ESPN

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