The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville, Mississippi. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. EST on ESPN.
Georgia is favored by 8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -330. The total is set at 57.5 points.
Here’s my Georgia vs. Mississippi State predictions and college football picks for Saturday, November 8, 2025.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Prediction
- Georgia vs. Mississippi State Pick: Mississippi State +7.5 or Better
My Mississippi State vs. Georgia best bet is on Mississippi State to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Georgia vs Mississippi State Odds
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -110 | 57.5 -110o / -110u | -330 |
| Mississippi State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -110 | 57.5 -110o / -110u | +265 |
- Georgia vs Mississippi State point spread: Georgia -8.5 (-110), Mississippi State +8.5 (-110)
- Georgia vs Mississippi State over/under: 57.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Georgia vs Mississippi State moneyline: Georgia -330, Mississippi State +265
Georgia vs Mississippi State Pick
The market doesn't like this one, with Georgia taking money as the week progresses, but I really just wanted over a touchdown in the battle of the Bulldogs.
I do believe Mississippi State can keep this close, but as usual, I'll look to come in on Georgia live if Kirby Smart's bunch falls behind early. That has certainly been the case in almost every SEC game that Georgia has played this season.
After two wins to open the season over lowly Marshall and Austin Peay, UGA has faced six SEC foes that have outscored the Dawgs, 52-31, in the first quarter.
And if you remove the Kentucky game, Georgia has trailed at the end of the first quarter in each of its other five league games by a cumulative score of 52-17.
Almost every Georgia SEC game has followed the same script. It falls behind early, then Kirby does his thing as the best in-game adjuster in the sport, which helps lead his team to a come-from-behind victory.
To wit, Georgia has outscored those six opponents, 48-23, in the fourth quarter and overtime — almost a complete 180 to its first quarter differential.
I would be remiss if I didn't mention some of the calls Georgia has benefited from in SEC play.
Auburn should've led, 17-0, if not for a botched touchdown call followed by several other bogus penalties on the Tigers, which led to the head official getting indefinitely suspended.
We saw the same thing last week against Florida with a pair of game-changing calls breaking Georgia's way. It easily could've lost both of those games in addition to the overtime victory over Tennessee after the Vols missed the game-winning field goal attempt at the end of regulation. They were also on the ropes against Ole Miss until a late flurry.
This is just not your older brother's elite Georgia team, especially on defense.
Look no further than that aforementioned matchup with Tennessee. Historically, Josh Heupel's offenses get completely stuffed into a locker by Smart. Well, not this year, and Mississippi State runs a similar scheme under Jeff Lebby.
Georgia's pass rush is almost nonexistent, ranking outside the top 100 in both Pressure Rate and Sack EPA. I never thought I'd see a Georgia defense that ranks third-worst in the country in Sack Rate — ahead of only Air Force and Georgia Southern.
That will be a welcome relief for a Mississippi State offensive line that can really struggle in pass protection.
Mississippi State comes into this game with five wins, but it could easily have two or three more.
Even with a top-15 strength of schedule, the Bulldogs have been highly competitive against every opponent except for a trip to College Station in a tough situational spot. Still, even that game was just 7-3 late in the third quarter.
They've lost two games in overtime to Tennessee (thanks to a defensive touchdown) and to Texas after holding fourth-quarter leads. Plus, they threw an inexplicable last-minute interception in field-goal range in a two-point loss at Florida.
This is a real SEC team that can play with any team in the league.
Lastly, it's a potentially tricky situational spot for Georgia after an emotional rivalry win over Florida that took all 40 minutes, with a home game against Texas on deck.
Meanwhile, Mississippi State has a shot to clinch bowl eligibility, which would mark a massive step forward for a program that won two games in 2024. The Cowbells should be rocking in StarkVegas.
Until I see otherwise, I'll fade a Georgia team I believe remains overvalued as a favorite and look to back it live, especially against a team that has blown its fair share of leads this season.
Pick: Mississippi State +7.5 or Better
