The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders take on the Nevada Wolf Pack in Reno, NV. Kickoff is set for 5 p.m. ET on Mountain West Network.
Nevada is favored by -8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -340. The total is set at 48.5 points.
Here’s my Middle Tennessee vs. Nevada predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 13, 2025.
Middle Tennessee vs Nevada Prediction
- Middle Tennessee vs. Nevada Pick: Middle Tennessee +8.5
My Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee best bet is on the Blue Raiders spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Middle Tennessee vs Nevada Odds
| Middle Tennessee Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -108 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | +270 |
| Nevada Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -112 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | -340 |
- Middle Tennessee vs Nevada point spread: Nevada -8.5
- Middle Tennessee vs Nevada over/under: 48.5 points
- Middle Tennessee vs Nevada moneyline: Middle Tennessee +270, Nevada -340
Middle Tennessee vs Nevada Pick, Betting Analysis
Nevada barely escaped Sacramento State last week and was dispatched easily by Penn State in Week 1. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee got smoked by Austin Peay in its opener and had no chance against Wisconsin in Week 2.
So, how does this game play out between these two non-contenders?
Well, Evan Abrams' "Early Road Redemption" system says the Blue Raiders are the play on the spread.
While the 4-5 record for this system this season doesn't spell a lot of promise, it's +$8,073 with a 9.2% return on investment (ROI) since its inception.
"Early Road Redemption" is a college football system that identifies value on visiting teams in the opening stretch of the season after they've underperformed against the spread in their previous outing.
The market often punishes these teams too heavily for a single early loss, creating inflated lines in the next matchup. By narrowing the spread range between modest underdogs and double digit spots, the system captures situations where the road team is competitive but overlooked.
These games are played in manageable weather conditions and typically fall within lower scoring totals, which reduce volatility and keep contests closer than expected.
When teams in their first eight games seek redemption on the road after a poor showing against the spread, they frequently outperform expectations, making this a profitable angle.
Pick: Middle Tennessee +8.5
