Texas vs Kansas Odds & Predictions: Expect Scoreboard to Light Up
Tim Warner/Getty Images. Pictured: Texas wide receiver Jordan Whittington.
Texas vs Kansas Odds
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -105 | 63.5 -110o / -110u | -335 |
| Kansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -115 | 63.5 -110o / -110u | +265 |
Kansas vs. Texas: It's only funny if you're a fan of the former.
One of the newest, riveting rivalries in the Big 12 probably shouldn't be a game you circle in the calendar, but that's what you get when you're involved in two of the biggest upsets in recent history.
Kansas didn't have a win over Texas in the first 10 meetings. The Jayhawks have two across the last five, winning as 23.5-point underdogs back in 2016 and yet again last year catching 31.
Do we have another big upset brewing in Lawrence on Saturday? Maybe, but the over/under is the play for this Big 12 clash.
Longhorns Offense Struggling
Texas decided last week's home game against College Football Playoff hopeful TCU — while in the Big 12 driver's seat, mind you — was the optimal time to forget how to move the football.
The Longhorns offense didn't score a single touchdown in the 17-10 loss and failed to surpass 200 total yards.
TCU's Havoc-inducing defense limited star back Bijan Robinson to 29 yards on 12 carries, while quarterback Quinn Ewers — who finished a paltry 17-of-39 — started 0-of-7 out the gates.
Now, Steve Sarkisian's team needs to win out and receive help from others to play in the Big 12 title game.
Last week's dud aside, Texas' offense can hum when things are clicking. The Longhorns are still ripping off more than six yards per play this season (No. 25) and average about 422 total per contest.
Only three players — receivers Xavier Worthy and Jordan Whittington and tight end Ja'Tavion Sanders — caught passes against TCU. Although the lack of experience and depth showed up last week, it's not going to be an issue against this Kansas defense
Kansas the Best Bet in Football?
Lance Leipold's team was the best bet and most undervalued club in the nation for the first month and change.
The Jayhawks stormed out the gates 5-0 straight up and against the spread. Kansas failed to cover a game for the first time all year in Week 8 (!), and that missed by just 1.5 points.
Overall, Rock Chalk is 7-2-1 against the spread. The 72.7% hit rate is the sixth-best nationally, behind only Tennessee, UConn, Oregon State, Tulane and TCU.
And it's the offense that's gone bonkers in 2022.
The Jayhawks are posting more than 36 points per game (17th), spearheaded by a top-20 rush offense and a solid group of wide receivers.
The defense is a little bit of a different story. Although they're opportunistic and have generated 11 takeaways this season, the Jayhawks are lagging almost everywhere else.
Kansas ranks bottom-15 nationally in both total yards and passing yards per game given up, while only five other Power Five defenses have posted a worse opponent completion percentage (66.5%).
It's produced some gaudy scores just over the last five games, including combined point totals of 69, 92 and 71. Kansas and Baylor also went over 56 in a wind game in Week 8.
Texas vs Kansas Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Texas and Kansas match up statistically:
Texas Offense vs. Kansas Defense
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 49 | 117 | |
| Line Yards | 79 | 116 | |
| Pass Success | 23 | 115 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 17 | 79 | |
| Havoc | 22 | 120 | |
| Finishing Drives | 39 | 53 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Kansas Offense vs. Texas Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 59 | 12 | |
| Line Yards | 46 | 26 | |
| Pass Success | 15 | 54 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 67 | 16 | |
| Havoc | 50 | 45 | |
| Finishing Drives | 21 | 12 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 43 | 46 |
| PFF Coverage | 59 | 90 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 48 | 121 |
| Seconds per Play | 24.5 (28) | 28.3 (105) |
| Rush Rate | 52.0% (74) | 58.2% (34) |
Data via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD), FootballOutsiders, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
Texas vs Kansas Betting Pick
Over. Way over.
Texas needs a pick-me-up, and Kansas' bottom-ranked defense is about as perfect of a solution the Longhorns could draw up.
Despite all of the recent head-to-head trends — there have been points aplenty — Saturday's game should feature little resistance, especially early. Texas ranks eighth nationally in first-half points per game, and Kansas is 28th as the two combine for more than 37 together.
Both clubs are coming off losses. Texas, in particular, cannot — I mean this literally — play a worse game if it tried. The Longhorns play with pace, and you'll be surprised to see how Kansas operates through the air if the Jayhawks play from behind.
Kansas ranks ninth in the country in yards per completion, and they'll be dropping back frequently with Hook 'Em out for conviction.
Pick: Over 63.5 (Play to 65) |
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