Week 10 College Football Bowl Predictions: Brett McMurphy’s Updated Projections With Projected Spreads

Week 10 College Football Bowl Predictions: Brett McMurphy’s Updated Projections With Projected Spreads article feature image
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Lance King/Getty Images. Pictured: The NC State Wolfpack.

Week 10 College Football Bowl Predictions

College football is the absolute greatest sport on this planet. But has anyone else noticed it's slowly turning into professional wrestling?

On Saturday alone, there was the Melee at Michigan Stadium, which has law enforcement conducting an investigation. The only thing missing from the tunnel brawl in Ann Arbor was a folding chair over the back of someone’s head.

Then in College Station, a winning coach called the losing coach a “joker.” This was in response to the “joker” coach calling the other coach a “clown” a few months earlier.

Later that night, a Pac-12 athletic director called out a Pac-12 officiating crew on social media for their “bullshit” calls.

Earlier Saturday, news broke an SEC athletic director was doing the ultimate heel turn and was in the process of leaving his school for another school within the same SEC division.

Brawling, trash-talking, BS-spewing, heel-turning college football. Or just another Saturday. And, yes, I can’t wait for this week’s games.

This is where the script says I dive off the top rope into my bowl projections.

Heading into November, 36 teams are bowl-eligible, while nine are mathematically eliminated. That means 86 teams are alive to reach bowl eligibility with only 48 spots to fill.

I’m still projecting the bowl system will need seven 5-7 teams to fill the openings. This week, those include Iowa, Kansas, Miami, Michigan State, Missouri, Texas Tech and UTEP.

Here are this week’s projections with Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.

Updated 2022 College Football Betting Power Ratings

CFP National Championship Prediction

  • CFP National Championship

    Monday, Jan. 9
    Los Angeles, CA

    Georgia

    Ohio State

    -1.5

College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Atlanta, GA

    Georgia

    -8.5

    Tennessee

  • Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Glendale, AZ

    Ohio State

    -12.5

    Clemson


New Year's Six Bowl Games

  • Rose Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Pasadena, CA

    Oregon

    Michigan

    -3.5
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Arlington, TX

    Kansas State

    -8.5

    Tulane

  • Allstate Sugar Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    New Orleans, LA

    TCU

    Alabama

    -9.5
  • Capital One Orange Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Miami, FL

    North Carolina

    Ole Miss

    -5

Projections for All Other Bowls

  • Citrus Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Orlando, FL

    Penn State

    -1.5

    LSU

  • ReliaQuest Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Tampa, FL

    Illinois

    PK

    Kentucky

    PK
  • Music City Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Nashville, TN

    Wisconsin

    -1.5

    Texas A&M

  • Arizona Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Tucson, AZ

    Eastern Michigan

    Fresno State

    -8.5
  • TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Jacksonville, FL

    Notre Dame

    -7.5

    South Carolina

  • Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    El Paso, TX

    Duke

    Oregon State

    -9.5
  • Duke's Mayo Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Charlotte, NC

    Wake Forest

    -3.5

    Maryland

  • Valero Alamo Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    San Antonio, TX

    Oklahoma State

    PK

    USC

    PK
  • Cheez-It Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Orlando, FL

    NC State

    Texas

    -10.5
  • Pinstripe Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Bronx, NY

    Florida State

    -4

    Minnesota

  • TaxAct Texas Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Houston, TX

    Baylor

    -2.5

    Mississippi State

  • Holiday Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    San Diego, CA

    Syracuse

    Utah

    -5
  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Memphis, TN

    Oklahoma

    -7

    Florida

  • Military Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Annapolis, MD

    Pittsburgh

    -1.5

    East Carolina

  • Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Phoenix, AZ

    Purdue

    PK

    Texas Tech

    PK
  • Camellia Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Montgomery, AL

    Toledo

    Appalachian State

    -4
  • Birmingham Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Birmingham, AL

    Missouri

    -1.5

    Miami

  • First Responder Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Dallas, TX

    Washington State

    PK

    Air Force

    PK
  • Quick Lane Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 26
    Detroit, MI

    Michigan State

    -16

    Ohio

  • EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 24
    Honolulu, HI

    San Jose State

    -6.5

    North Texas

  • Gasparilla Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Tampa, FL

    UAB

    Kansas

    -3
  • Independence Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Shreveport, LA

    Southern Miss

    Memphis

    -5
  • Armed Forces Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 22
    Fort Worth, TX

    Houston

    PK

    Iowa

    PK
  • New Orleans Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 21
    New Orleans, LA

    UTSA

    PK

    Troy

    PK
  • Boca Raton Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boca Raton, FL

    UCF

    -10

    Coastal Carolina

  • Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boise, ID

    Buffalo

    San Diego State

    -5
  • Myrtle Beach Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 19
    Conway, SC

    Marshall

    -1

    Liberty

  • Frisco Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Frisco, TX

    BYU

    -7.5

    Wyoming

  • Las Vegas Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Las Vegas, NV

    Arkansas

    -1

    UCLA

  • LendingTree Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Mobile, AL

    Middle Tennessee

    Georgia Southern

    -5.5
  • Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Los Angeles, CA

    Washington

    PK

    Boise State

    PK
  • New Mexico Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Albuquerque, NM

    UNLV

    SMU

    -14
  • Wasabi Fenway Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Boston, MA

    Louisville

    Cincinnati

    -2
  • Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16
    Orlando, FL

    South Alabama

    -13

    Kent State

  • Bahamas Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16
    Nassau, Bahamas

    Western Kentucky

    -8

    Miami (OH)

  • TBA Bowl**

    TBD
    TBD

    UTEP

    Louisiana

    -13

* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**ESPN will create a bowl this fall to replace the San Francisco Bowl if it is not played.

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