The Kalshi promo code (ACTION55) works for tonight's ALCS Game 2 between Cleveland and Tampa Bay, and our Guardians vs. Rays predictions round up the best home run bets today.
- The Guardians stormed back from an 0-2 hole to beat the White Sox in the ALDS, then rallied from 2-0 down to win Game 1 of this series 7-3 on Monday, and José Ramírez (CLE) enters Game 2 red hot after a two-game cycle-plus-steal stretch and the go-ahead homer that clinched the series.
- The Rays swept the Yankees in the ALDS but gave up home-field advantage with Monday's loss, leaning on a middle of the order that includes star slugger Junior Caminero (TB), who hit 42 home runs in 2026, his second straight 40-homer season.
With MLB on its way shortly here's a look at tonight's best prediction markets for every home run prop on the board before we break down each ticket.
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero HR Yes | Yes | 21¢ | $463.33 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jo Adell HR Yes | Yes | 16¢ | $607.12 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| José Ramírez HR Yes | Yes | 15¢ | $647.40 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Yandy Díaz HR Yes | Yes | 14¢ | $693.35 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jonathan Aranda HR Yes | Yes | 10¢ | $969.40 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Brayan Rocchio HR Yes | Yes | 7¢ | $1,383.42 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Junior Caminero 2+ HR Yes | Yes | 2¢ | $3,725.94 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jo Adell 2+ HR Yes | Yes | 2¢ | $4,834.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Yandy Díaz 2+ HR Yes | Yes | 2¢ | $4,834.00 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Read our dedicated Kalshi review to learn more about how this exchange operates, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.
Best Home Run Bets Today – Guardians vs. Rays Predictions
Here are our best home run bets today for this ALCS Game 2 matchup. Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
Home Run Prop Today – Junior Caminero
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero HR Yes | Yes | 21¢ | $463.33 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Caminero has the shortest price on tonight's home run board. The 23-year-old followed up his 2025 breakout with another 42 home runs and 101 RBIs in 2026 as one of the Rays' most important middle-of-the-order bats.
He's set to see Cleveland left-hander Parker Messick, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA this postseason, a matchup the Rays should like against a Guardians staff stretched thin by a five-game ALDS. On the ticket, a $100 buy at a 21 cent average price works out to roughly 476 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Caminero goes deep: this ticket nets a return of $463.33.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Just over a 4.6-to-1 payout multiple, and the safest home run swing on the entire board tonight.
Home Run Prop Today – Jo Adell
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell HR Yes | Yes | 16¢ | $607.12 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Adell arrived in Cleveland at the trade deadline after spending his entire career with the Angels, and he delivered a two-run double in the ALCS opener at Tropicana Field.
He's slotted into the middle of a Guardians lineup that needs more pop behind José Ramírez, and a 16% price reflects a real power threat even on the road against Rays starter Freddy Peralta, who has a 1.93 ERA this postseason, and a well-rested bullpen. A $100 buy at a 16 cent average price is good for roughly 625 shares on this ticket.
- If Adell connects: this ticket nets a return of $607.12.
- If not: the $100 stake is gone entirely.
Better than 6-to-1 on the payout multiple, and one of the better values on the board given his early series form.
Home Run Prop Today – José Ramírez
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez HR Yes | Yes | 15¢ | $647.40 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Ramírez is as hot as any hitter in the sport right now. He hit for the cycle and stole a base across a two-game span in the ALDS, then delivered the go-ahead home run that sent Cleveland to the ALCS in Game 5.
He went 3 for 5 with two runs scored in the ALCS opener, and the market still has him priced as a modest home run underdog despite the form he's carrying into Tampa Bay. A $100 buy at a 15 cent average price is roughly 667 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Ramírez homers: this ticket nets a return of $647.40.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Just under 6.5-to-1 on the payout, and the clearest "hot hand" play on tonight's home run board.
Home Run Prop Today – Yandy Díaz
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz HR Yes | Yes | 14¢ | $693.35 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Díaz is the least natural fit for this market of the three multi-home run tickets, since his game leans more toward contact than pure over-the-fence power, even with 22 homers this season.
Still, he's a fixture near the top of a deep Tampa Bay order that gets a full look at Cleveland's bullpen the longer this game goes, and he's shown he can turn on a mistake when pitchers try to work him inside. A $100 buy at a 14 cent average price comes out to roughly 714 shares on this one.
- If Díaz goes deep: this ticket nets a return of $693.35.
- If not: the full $100 stake is lost.
Just under a 7-to-1 payout multiple for a lineup fixture who doesn't need to change his approach to get there.
Home Run Prop Today – Jonathan Aranda
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda HR Yes | Yes | 10¢ | $969.40 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Aranda already has a home run moment in this postseason, cranking the lone run of the Rays' 1-0 ALDS Game 1 win over the Yankees with a solo homer off Gerrit Cole.
He's not the first name that comes up when discussing Tampa Bay's power, but he's shown he can deliver the timely blast when his number is called, and a 10% price still pays out close to 10-to-1. A $100 buy at a 10 cent average price works out to roughly 1,000 shares on this ticket.
- If Aranda connects: this ticket nets a return of $969.40.
- If not: the full $100 stake is lost.
A true value play for a hitter who has already delivered a game-deciding homer once this October.
Home Run Prop Today – Brayan Rocchio
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Rocchio HR Yes | Yes | 7¢ | $1,383.42 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Rocchio sits near the bottom of Cleveland's lineup and leans far more on contact and defense than over-the-fence power, which is why he carries the longest price among the Guardians hitters on this board.
He has shown pop in flashes this season, and any extra traffic on the bases in front of him in Tampa Bay only raises the stakes if he connects. A $100 buy at a 7 cent average price is roughly 1,429 shares on this ticket, each worth $1 if the contract hits.
- If Rocchio homers: this ticket nets a return of $1,383.42.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Nearly 14-to-1 on the payout multiple, the deepest longshot among the single home run props tonight. Everything from here gets considerably more speculative.
Best Multi Home Run Props – Guardians vs. Rays Predictions
The three tickets below ask a player to leave the yard twice in the same game, a feat that is rare even over a 162 game regular season, let alone in a tight October series. Rafael Devers' two-homer game for the Giants on September 5 was one of just a handful of multi-home-run games league-wide in the season's final month.
The Yankees' Ben Rice homered twice in Wild Card Game 1, but nobody has gone deep twice in a game in this ALCS yet. These are true longshot bets, priced accordingly at just 2 cents on the dollar, and they belong in a different risk category than the six picks above.
Multi Home Run Prop Today – Junior Caminero 2+
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero 2+ HR Yes | Yes | 2¢ | $3,725.94 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Caminero is the most logical name to target in the two-homer market simply because he's the likeliest player on the board to hit one home run in the first place, and a multi-homer game requires exactly that kind of raw power ceiling.
Even so, this is a true moonshot. No hitter in this ALCS has managed a two-homer game yet. A $100 buy at a 2 cent average price works out to roughly 5,000 shares on this ticket.
- If Caminero hits two or more home runs: this ticket nets a return of $3,725.94.
- If not: the full $100 stake is lost.
Nearly 37-to-1 on the payout, priced like the longshot it is.
Multi Home Run Prop Today – Jo Adell 2+
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell 2+ HR Yes | Yes | 2¢ | $4,834.00 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Adell has real raw power and has already flashed extra-base pop in this series, but asking him for two home runs in one night against a well-rested Rays staff is a very different proposition than asking for one.
Multi-homer games have been scarce across the sport all October, and no Guardians hitter has managed one at any point in this postseason run, which includes the ALDS comeback over the White Sox. A $100 buy at a 2 cent average price is roughly 5,000 shares here as well.
- If Adell hits two or more home runs: this ticket nets a return of $4,834.00.
- If not: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A true lottery ticket at better than 48-to-1, built for a trader chasing maximum leverage rather than a realistic floor.
Multi Home Run Prop Today – Yandy Díaz 2+
| ⚾ Guardians vs Rays Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz 2+ HR Yes | Yes | 2¢ | $4,834.00 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Díaz is the least natural fit for this market of the three multi-home-run tickets, since his game has always leaned more toward contact and on-base skills than pure over-the-fence power.
That contact-over-power profile is exactly why the price here matches Adell's despite Díaz carrying a shorter single home run price than him; the market simply isn't buying a two-homer night from a hitter built this way. A $100 buy at a 2 cent average price is roughly 5,000 shares on this ticket too.
- If Díaz hits two or more home runs: this ticket nets a return of $4,834.00.
- If not: the full $100 stake is lost.
Better than 48-to-1, the longest shot on the board relative to how realistic the underlying feat actually is for this particular hitter.
Safest Home Run Bets Today for Guardians vs. Rays
Here are our best home run bets today for this ALCS Game 2 matchup. Use Kalshi promo code ACTION55 and Trade $25, Get $55!
We're zeroing back in on the home run market, since that's the entire focus of this best home run bets today piece. Here are the three tickets on the board most likely to land, one more time, for anyone just scanning for the safest plays.
- Junior Caminero (TB) (Home Run 1+:Yes 21¢): the board's shortest price, backed by a 42 home run season and a favorable matchup against Parker Messick (5.40 ERA this postseason).
- Jo Adell (CLE) (Home Run 1+:Yes 16¢): already showing pop in this series with a two-run double in Game 1, and the second-shortest price on the slate.
- José Ramírez (CLE) (Home Run 1+:Yes 15¢): the hottest hitter in the sport over the past week, with a cycle, a stolen base and the ALDS-clinching homer all within his last two games.
What's Moving the Home Run Market Tonight
Prediction markets and prices move for plenty of reasons, and Tonight's board largely reflects recent form and matchup context. Caminero and Adell sit at the top of the board because both have shown real power this month, Caminero across a 42 home run regular season and Adell with an extra-base hit already in this very series. Ramírez's price looks almost generous given how hot he's been.
The multi-home run tickets are priced as the pure longshots they are, since even the sport's best power hitters rarely clear the fence twice in the same game, and nobody has done it in this ALCS yet.
How to Trade Home Runs on Kalshi Today
Ready to get in on these picks? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading tonight's board:
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Sign up through one of our links and enter Kalshi promo code ACTION55 to get started!
- Fund your account and complete $25 in qualifying trades to unlock the bonus.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract on tonight's board.
📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONSCertain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
Best Home Run Bets Today: Final Thoughts
Game 2 of the ALCS gives traders a loaded home run board, from Caminero's shortest price at the top down to three true longshot multi-home run tickets at the bottom. Caminero, Adell and Ramírez stand out as the best home run bets today for anyone who wants the realistic floor.
The 2+ tickets on Caminero, Adell and Díaz offer real leverage for anyone chasing a much bigger multiple on a single swing. With Cleveland's pitching staff stretched by a five-game ALDS, don't be surprised if tonight's game turns on one big swing.
Best HR Bets Today – Guardians vs. Rays Predictions FAQs
What are the best home run bets today for Guardians vs. Rays? Junior Caminero, Jo Adell and José Ramírez carry the shortest prices on tonight's home run board and represent our top home run bets today for this ALCS Game 2 matchup.
Who is favored to hit a home run in Guardians vs. Rays Game 2? Junior Caminero carries the shortest price on the board at 21 cents, making him the hitter the market likes most to go deep tonight.
Are the 2+ home run props a good bet tonight? The multi-home-run tickets on Caminero, Adell and Díaz are true longshots priced at just 2 cents each, reflecting how rare a two-home-run game is for any hitter, even in a loaded lineup.
How do Kalshi home run contracts work? Each contract resolves Yes if the named player hits the required number of home runs in that specific game, and No if they don't. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it doesn't.
When does tonight's Guardians vs. Rays home run market resolve? The contract resolves once Game 2 of the ALCS is final, based on official MLB box score data for that game.
How do I use a Kalshi promo code on Guardians vs. Rays? Create a Kalshi account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the current promo code to unlock a trading bonus before tonight's first pitch.
Where is Guardians vs. Rays ALCS Game 2 being played? Game 2 is played at Tropicana Field in Tampa Bay, with the Rays holding home-field advantage for the first two games of this series.
