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Bears vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023

Bears at Chiefs

8:25 pm • FOX

Chicago Bears

5-12
10
10 - 41

Kansas City Chiefs

2-1
41

Bears at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bears
5-12
+12.5-112
o48.5-110
+525
Chiefs
2-1
-12.5-107
u48.5-110
-750
location pinSunday 8:25 p.m.
September 24, 2023
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Bears vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+1.6u)
KC -12.5+162
0.81u
Builder
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -7.5 (1H)+110
1.1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Toney u28.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
Koerner’s prop
Nicholas Parsons
Nicholas Parsons
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI +12.5-110
1.1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 156-162-16 (-5.1u)
K.Toney u28.5 Rec Yds-115
0.5u
Via @The_Oddsmaker
Kevin Thomas
Kevin Thomas
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer-145
0.69u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 156-162-16 (-5.1u)
CHI +12.5-110
0.55u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 48-110
0.91u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 21-20-0 (-1.9u)
K.Toney u29.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 44-49-6 (-10.9u)
J.Fields o60.5 Rush Yds-110
1.1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 62-87-3 (-19.2u)
K.Herbert o8.5 Rec Yds-117
1u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 242-277-3 (-26.3u)
CHI +12.5-110
1.1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 44-49-6 (-10.9u)
R.Johnson o39.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114
1u
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 120-167-3 (-0.2u)
J.Fields o60.5 Rush Yds-110
0.55u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 63-99-1 (-1.3u)
J.Watson o14.5 Longest Reception-115
0.35u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 38-40-1 (-6.0u)
R.Johnson o25.5 Rush Yds-120
0.83u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 66-144-0 (+45.5u)
J.Fields o52.5 Rush Yds-115
0.25u
Fields had at least 53 rushing yards in nine of 10 games to end last season. I know that. You know that. Why don't Chicago's coaches seem to know that?
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 120-167-3 (-0.2u)
Over 48-110
1.82u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 63-99-1 (-1.3u)
R.Johnson o36.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115
0.43u
Love this play by @PropBetGuy
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.Johnson o36.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115
1u
Over in 2/2 games, with an increasing snap count, and rumblings that he’s ticketed to take over as the starter. Even if he gets the same snap splits as last week (42%), i see several avenues for him to get to the over. One is through receiving - he’s second on the bears in targets and probably already their best back in pass protection. And then two is garbage time potential - this game could get out of hand in the 2H, which I think likely means we see more of him on the field. He’s been the lone bright spot for this offense so far - I like him to keep rolling.
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 92-89-4 (+1.9u)
Over 47.5-111
0.9u
Highest Bears total of the season, must play
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 82-60-1 (+18.8u)
CHI +12.5-109
1.09u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 31-48-0 (-3.8u)
Over 47.5-110
0.91u
Available at FanDuel. I know the Chiefs' offense hasn't lit it up yet, but against this defense, they could push for an over here by themselves. The Bears have let up 0.50 EPA per drop back (per numberFire's EPA metric) through two games while facing Baker Mayfield and Jordan Love. Now, they have to face Patrick Mahomes on the road. I realize that a total of 47.5 requires some push back on the other side, which might be tough with Chris Jones back. But the Bears are close to desperation mode and might have to lean back into Justin Fields as a runner again. My model has this total at 50.1, even with 9 mile-per-hour winds currently in the forecast.

PRO Insights

Bears logo

Bears

CHI Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Bears logoThe Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 42.0% on 3rd and long since the 2022 season -- best in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 38.0% when defending on 3rd and long since the 2022 season -- worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Chiefs logo

Chiefs

KC Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Chiefs logoThe Bears are 1-8 (.111) on the road since the 2022 season -- second-worst in NFL. Chiefs are 7-2 (.778) at home since the 2022 season -- sixth-best in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Bears vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

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    Taylor Swift at Chiefs Game: Travis Kelce Props, Scores TD

    Christina Ventura•
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  • Bears vs. Chiefs: K.C. Will BBQ Fields & Chicago article feature image

    Bears vs. Chiefs: K.C. Will BBQ Fields & Chicago

    John Lanfranca•
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Bears vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Bears vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Bears

Public

Home Logo

Chiefs

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • Chiefs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Chiefs are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Chiefs' 8 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs		7-9-13-54-4-16-7-11-2
Bears		9-7-15-2-13-53-16-6-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs		7-104-43-66-81-2
Bears		7-104-42-62-25-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs		15-2N/AN/A14-01-2
Bears		5-12N/AN/A3-12-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 17th@JACW 17-9-3.5 WU 50.5KC -165
Sep 8thDETL 20-21-4 LU 52.5DET -210
Aug 26thCLEW 33-32+4.5 WO 41KC +170
Aug 20th@ARIW 38-10-7.5 WO 40.5KC -325
Aug 13th@NOL 24-26+1.5 LO 38.5NO +100

Bears vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Bears Injuries

  • Ryan Bates
    OL

    Bates is out with concussion

    Out

  • Travis Homer
    RB

    Homer is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Jaylon Johnson
    DB

    Johnson is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Amen Ogbongbemiga
    LB

    Ogbongbemiga is questionable with hip

    Questionable

  • Braxton Jones
    OL

    Jones is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Doug Kramer
    OL

    Kramer is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Elijah Hicks
    DB

    Hicks is out with ankle

    Out

  • Gervon Dexter
    DE

    Dexter is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Kiran Amegadjie
    OL

    Amegadjie is questionable with calf

    Questionable

Chiefs Injuries

  • Mike Edwards
    S

    Edwards is questionable with quad

    Questionable

  • Skyy Moore
    WR

    Moore is doubtful with abdomen

    Doubtful

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with leg

    Out

  • Cam Jones
    LB

    Jones is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Jared Wiley
    TE

    Wiley is out with knee

    Out

See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

Total

203
Total Yards
456
51
Total Plays
75
4
Yards Per Play
6.1

Passing

99
YDS
303
11/22
Comps/Atts
27/38
3.48
YPA
7.974
1/1
TDs/INTs
3/2
3/12
Sacks/Yards
0/0

Rushing

116
Rush Yards
153
26
Attempts
37
4.462
YPC
4.135
0
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
2

Efficiency

1/2 50%
Redzone
5/5 100%
4/12 0%
3rd Down
10/14 0%
1/2 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

11
Total
31
5
Pass
16
6
Rush
12
0
Penalty
3

Misc

6/32
Penalties/Yards
3/15
23:47
Possession
36:13

Bears vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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Bears at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Bears
5-12
o18-103
u18-127
Chiefs
2-1
o30.5-116
u30.5-108