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Cowboys vs Bears Odds, Picks, Prediction | NFL Week 8

Cowboys vs Bears Odds, Picks, Prediction | NFL Week 8 article feature image
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Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Fields

  • The Cowboys as big home favorites in Week 8 against the Bears.
  • Chicago got a huge win last Monday over the Patriots.
  • Sam Farley previews the game and makes his Bears vs Cowboys pick below.

Cowboys vs Bears Odds

Sunday, Oct. 30
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Cowboys Odds -10
Bears Odds +10
Moneyline -460 / +360
Over/Under 42.5
Odds via FanDuel.

The 3-4 Bears face the 5-2 Cowboys with both teams third in their respective division. The Bears have been a hard watch at times this season but there are green shoots to encourage fans, while the Cowboys have performed brilliantly, with their success built on Micah Parsons and that brilliant defense.

For our best bet we’ll be focusing on second-year QB Justin Fields and jump on a trend around his usage.

Bears vs. Cowboys Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Bears and Cowboys match up statistically:

Bears vs. Cowboys DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 31 2
Pass DVOA 31 1
Rush DVOA 19 12
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 18 15
Pass DVOA 20 12
Rush DVOA 8 24

The Bears haven’t really set the NFL on fire this year but they’re still on three wins, which gives credit to the defense in particular.

They’ve not been great through the air with both Fields passing and the receivers failing to excel. Darnell Mooney leads the team with 294 yardage but has yet to find the end zone, with Dante Pettis the WR corps’ leading scorer with two touchdowns.


Bet Chicago vs. Dallas
Bears +10 | Cowboys -10


The running back room has been a huge success with David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert arguably the best combo in the league outside of the Browns. Montgomery is the best in pass pro but Herbert has an extra 156 yards and a touchdown on two fewer rushes.

The big news in Dallas is that Dak Prescott is back under center, returning last week. Cooper Rush did brilliantly in his absence and kept the team afloat.

Ezekiel Elliott still owns the backfield, although Tony Pollard is a dynamic change of pace back and averages 5.6 YPC compared to Elliott’s 4.1. The Cowboys starter is also doubtful to play this week.

CeeDee Lamb was due to ascend to superstardom this season with Amari Cooper now gone, but as good as he’s been he’s not truly broken out yet, with 479 yards and two TDs on 37 catches.

The highlight of the team has been on defense. Parsons is favorite for Defensive Player of the Year and with eight sacks, and it’s easy to understand why. But along with Parsons we’ve also seen Donovan Wilson, Leighton Vander Esch and Dorance Armstrong also play at an elite level.

Betting Picks

Fields really struggled at the start of the season and many observers questioned why the team didn’t put him in a position to succeed and showcase some of the abilities that made him so special at college.

It looks like the Bears were listening and in the past two weeks the team have really leaned into letting Fields use his feet. Last week, Fields had 10 designed runs, which is even more impressive given that last year he had 18 in the whole season.

In the last two weeks, Fields has had 12 and 14 rushing attempts, having only broken double digits once in the previous five weeks. It’s clear what the team is trying to do and with his rushing attempt line set at 8.5 this week we’ll back the over.

Pick: Justin Fields Over 8.5 Rush Attempts (-130 at BetMGM) | Bet to 8.5

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