The NFL Conference Championships Sunday doubleheader begins with a matchup between the Denver Broncos and New England Patriots at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Col. This game will be broadcast live on CBS at 3 p.m. ET.
- For more coverage, check out our Broncos vs Patriots preview, which includes six picks for this afternoon's AFC Championship Game.
Continue below for AFC Championship odds and my Broncos vs Patriots parlay, which includes a moneyline pick and a prop for Patriots WR Mack Hollins.
Broncos vs Patriots Parlay
- Patriots Moneyline (-220)
- Mack Hollins Under 2.5 Receptions (-135)
Parlay Odds: +150 (bet365)
Broncos vs Patriots Odds
| Patriots Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 43 -110o / -110u | -220 |
| Broncos Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 43 -110o / -110u | +180 |
- Broncos vs Patriots Moneyline: Broncos +180, Patriots -220
- Broncos vs Patriots Over/Under: 43 (-110o / -110u)
- Broncos vs Patriots Spread: Broncos +3.5 (-105), Patriots -3.5 (-115)
Broncos vs Patriots Preview, Parlay Picks
Patriots Moneyline
I believe the Bo Nix injury will be too much for this Denver team to overcome.
The Patriots have one of the best defensive teams in the NFL, which they've shown through two playoff games thus far, limiting the Chargers to three points and the Texans to 16. I expect Vrabel and company to have a strong game plan against a Broncos offense led by Jarrett Stidham.
I trust Drake Maye and the Patriots offense to make fewer mistakes and more big plays in what should be a closely contested contest.
According to Evan Abrams, Maye is 12-0 straight up and 10-2 against the spread when the Patriots are favorites of three points or more.
Mack Hollins Under 2.5 Receptions
We will team up with our Action Pro Report for this prop.
The Patriots activated Mack Hollins (abdomen) from injured reserve for the AFC Championship Game. I expect Hollins to see limited snaps today after being sidelined since Week 16.
The game script will bode well for this prop as I expect New England to play with the lead and lean more on its rushing game.
Our Action Pro Report projects 1.5 receptions for Hollins. Hollins has stayed under 2.5 receptions in eight of 15 games this season.
Broncos vs Patriots Parlay
- Patriots Moneyline (-220)
- Mack Hollins Under 2.5 Receptions (-135)
Parlay Odds: +150 (bet365)
