Brutal Drops Cost Chiefs, Public Bettors Big on Monday Night Football
Jamie Squire/Getty Images. Pictured: Marquez Valdes-Scantling #11 of the Kansas City Chiefs.
It looked like another vintage Patrick Mahomes comeback was in the works Monday as the reigning MVP let loose an absolute cannon 51 yards downfield into the waiting arms of a wide-open Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Unfortunately, the ball bounced off his hands in one of the most brutal drops you’ll see all year.
Two plays later, it looked like there would be more Mahomes magic as he fired a pass to Justin Watson on 4th-and-25. However, the wideout couldn’t haul it in, marking the third drop of the potential game-winning drive.
Kansas City had a season-high five drops on the night, but they didn’t just cost the home team in a 21-17 loss to the Eagles. They also cost the public.
Betting was split down the middle between these teams against the spread, according to Action Network's betting data. However, there was heavy money on the Chiefs to win straight up as over 88% of it was on the Kansas City moneyline.
The drops put a dent into a remarkable Mahomes trend over the past decade. The Chiefs entered the game as -2.5 point favorites, and Mahomes was 20-6-1 ATS as either an underdog or a favorite less than three points, providing a 47.5% return on investment.
On the other hand, Philadelphia extended a remarkable stat of their own. They trailed by double-digits for the third time this year, but have managed to win them all. Evan Abrams points out that they are now 5-2 straight up since the start of the 2022 campaign. Meanwhile, the other 31 teams in the league are just 67-299-2 (18.3%) SU when trailing by double digits.,
The Eagles have won 13 games in a row vs. teams above .500, and they face another next week against the Buffalo Bills.