The Buffalo Bills (1-0) and New York Jets (0-1) battle in NFL Week 2 on Sunday, September 14. Kickoff for Bills vs Jets is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. The game will broadcast on CBS.
The Bills are 6.5-point favorites over the Jets on the spread (Bills -6.5), with the over/under set at 46.5 total points. Buffalo is a -310 favorite to win outright on the moneyline; New York is +250 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Bills vs Jets prediction and NFL picks for Sunday, September 14.
Bills vs Jets Prediction
- Bills vs Jets pick: Jets +6.5 (-110)
My Jets vs. Bills best bet is on New York to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Bills vs Jets Odds
| Bills Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -310 |
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | +250 |
Bills vs Jets NFL Week 2 Preview
I'm sorry, but I have to do it.
I'm taking the Jets +6.5 at home against Buffalo in Week 2.
We talked about this last week. I don't think the Bills defense is good, and despite managing to escape with a miraculous 1-point victory on Sunday Night Football, that sentiment seemingly proved to be correct as Buffalo surrendered 40 points on 432 yards of total offense to the Ravens.
On the flip side, many of the new coach-new quarterback situations turned out quite poorly in Week 1. However, the same certainly cannot be said about the Justin Fields and the Jets despite ultimately falling by a score of 34-32 to the Steelers.
Fields completed 16-of-22 pass attempts for 218 yards and a passing touchdown in last week's loss against a really strong Pittsburgh defense, while also tacking on 12 rushes for 48 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
I thought Tanner Engstrand called a really good game on offense for the Jets in Week 1, and I really liked the game plan they drew up for Fields. Quite frankly, I thought it was the best he has ever looked. I like the routes they were scheming up, using a lot of pre-snap motion.
Back when Fields was in Chicago, the Bears ran a ton of simple route concepts with not much creativity to the passing attack — sometimes intentionally so. It seems like the Jets' coaching staff trusts Fields more than any staff ever has in the NFL, and he rewarded them for it with a really solid performance in Week 1.
Obviously, nobody is Lamar Jackson.
However, Fields is the same type of dual-threat quarterback that the Bills defense really struggled against last week. The Jets' offense line looked much improved. Armand Membou graded out as the No. 1 offensive tackle last week.
The Bills have one of the worst linebacker groups in the league. Matt Milano isn't the same guy. Ed Oliver is the only guy on the D-line that's really doing anything. Their corner situation is shaky due to injuries (Tre'Davious White and Taron Johnson are questionable), and the safety situation is already pretty rough.
Bills vs Jets Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Jets lost in typical Jets fashion in Week 1 — they entered the fourth quarter with a nine-point lead and managed to let it slip away. And because of that, I don't think the vast majority of bettors fully realize quite yet just how improved this offense looked.
I am going to grab the points with New York as big home underdogs. The Ravens looked like they had a video game offense against Buffalo. I think we are going to see the Jets hit the mid-20s in this game, at the very least, which should be enough to cover the spread.
In addition to all the reasons why I think New York is undervalued in this spot, there's a bunch of great trends that point toward the Jets.
- Home underdogs in Week 2 that are facing a team coming off a win have hit at a 54% ATS clip over the past two decades.
- Week 2 underdogs facing a team that lost as an underdog in their previous game have hit at a 64% ATS clip during that span.
- Divisional home underdogs that are facing a team that is a bigger favorite than it was in Week 1 have covered at a 61 % ATS clip.
The trends go on and on.
Plain and simple, divisional home underdogs in Weeks 1-3 have hit at a 63% rate over the past two decades.
Pick: Jets +6.5 (-110)
Spread
My Jets vs. Bills betting prediction is New York to cover the spread at +6.5.
Moneyline
While I will be betting on the Jets to cover the spread, I'm not targeting the moneyline market.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in this matchup.
