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Colts vs Patriots Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Preseason Week 1

Colts vs Patriots Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Preseason Week 1 article feature image
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Robert Goddin-Imagn Images. Pictured: Anthony Richardson (left) and Riley Leonard.

The Indianapolis Colts (0-0) and New England Patriots (0-0) will face off in Week 1 of the NFL preseason on Thursday. Kickoff is set for in 7:30 p.m. ET from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. The game will broadcast live on NFL+.

The Colts are favored by -2.5 with the over/under set at 37.5 total points. Indianapolis is a -155 favorite to win outright, while New England is +130 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Colts vs Patriots predictions and NFL picks for Thursday, August, 13.


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My Colts vs Patriots Prediction

  • Colts vs Patriots Pick: Colts -2.5

My Colts vs Patriots best bet is Colts -2.5, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.


Colts vs Patriots Odds

Colts Logo
Thursday, Aug 13
7:30 p.m. ET
NFL+
Patriots Logo
Colts Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-115
37.5
-102o / -118u
-155
Patriots Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-105
37.5
-102o / -118u
+130
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
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Colts vs Patriots NFL Preseason Preview

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Colts Betting Preview

The Colts are going to sit most of their starters for their preseason opener, most notably quarterback Daniel Jones, who is making his return from a torn Achilles. Top wideout Alec Pierce continues to try to recover from offseason foot surgery. At a press conference this week, head coach Shane Steichen said that "a slew of starters" would be sitting in this game.

But that doesn't mean there isn't any intrigue from the Colts' perspective.

We've got a key position battle worth monitoring, with Anthony Richardson and Riley Leonard competing for No. 2 on the quarterback depth chart. Richardson is motivated to prove that he deserves a chance at more playing time, while Leonard is trying to prove himself in his second season.

It's also worth monitoring seventh-round rookie running back Seth McGowan, who has been one of the standouts of camp. We could see the first-year running back feature prominently in this matchup.


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Patriots Betting Preview

The Patriots are similarly going to sit a significant number of starters for their first preseason game, including Drake Maye and A.J. Brown.

At a press conference this week, head coach Mike Vrabel said he "wouldn't anticipate seeing Maye on Thursday" regarding his availability for this matchup vs. the Colts.

You're going to see Tommy DeVito get some reps for the Patriots in this game. Given that he's adjusting to a new system since it's his first year with the team, it makes sense for the Pats to ride with DeVito for a couple of series.

Reports out of camp indicate that DeVito had a strong joint practice earlier this week.  He'll be joined by wideouts Kyle Williams and Efton Chism as his main weapons.

But the one who is reportedly going to see a lion's share of QB reps is seventh-round rookie Behren Morton. Since he didn't get much action in the joint practice, Patriots beat writers have speculated that they'll want to see him in this preseason game.


Colts vs Patriots Prediction, Betting Analysis

I'm going with the Colts -2.5 over the Patriots. This is a bet on the Anthony Richardson and Riley Leonard combo. At least there's starting experience for both of these quarterbacks.

Richardson has a chip on his shoulder to prove he's not a bust, while Leonard showed flashes last season, especially against the Texans in Week 18, when he threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns.

While the Patriots have some experience with Tommy DeVito under center, the expectation is that Behren Morton will play most of this game. As a seventh-round rookie, he's a complete wild card here. That gives the edge to the Colts in this one, so we'll lay the points here.

Pick: Colts -2.5


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Frank AmmiranteVerified Action Expert

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