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Chargers vs Browns Odds, Picks, Prediction

Chargers vs Browns Odds, Picks, Prediction article feature image
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Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images. Pictured: Nick Chubb.

  • The Chargers are slight road favorites today against the Browns.
  • Los Angeles got back on track last week with a win, while Cleveland lost to Atlanta.
  • Sam Farley breaks down the matchup and explains which player props he's betting below.

Chargers vs. Browns Odds

Sunday, Oct. 9
1 p.m. ET
CBS
Chargers Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-1
-115
47
-110o / -110u
-125
Browns Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+1
-105
47
-110o / -110u
+105
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

This clash on Sunday sees the Chargers facing the Browns at the FirstEnergy Stadium. Both teams are .500, but the truth is neither will be that happy with their start to the season.

The Chargers were considered to be Super Bowl contenders before the season but have struggled out of the gate, while the Browns have struggled to really impress as they tread water until Deshaun Watson’s suspension ends.

There’s one Browns player who has been playing brilliantly this season, and we’ll be backing him to continue his great season.

Chargers vs. Browns Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Chargers and Browns match up statistically:

Chargers vs. Browns DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 11 30
Pass DVOA 6 18
Rush DVOA 30 30
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 6 11
Pass DVOA 11 11
Rush DVOA 3 18
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Many expected the visitors to be amongst those fighting for a Super Bowl this year, but the Chargers have been hit hard by the injury bug. They’ll be without key players on both sides of the ball in Joey Bosa (groin) and Keenan Allen (hamstring).

Perhaps the most important missing Chargers player is Rashawn Slater, the 2021 first-round pick who has been key in protecting Justin Herbert — oh, and Herbert is dealing with a rib injury.

No team has averaged more passing yards per game this season than the Chargers at 307.3. Allen has been injured since Week 1, with Mike Williams (31 targets), Gerald Everett (26) and Josh Palmer (22) taking up bigger roles. Austin Ekeler scored three times last week against the Texans and remains a huge factor for Los Angeles.

For Cleveland, Jacoby Brissett hasn’t done badly as the starting QB, instead performing just about average with a 87.1 passer rating, which is well behind Herbert’s 102.2.

The key for the Browns offense has been the ground game. Only the Giants are averaging more rushing yards per game this season than Cleveland. Nick Chubb is obviously the lead back but Kareem Hunt has also been excellent, getting 200 rushing yards and two total touchdowns.

Amari Cooper leads the team in targets (31), receptions (20) and receiving yards (228), but it’s worth noting that Donovan Peoples-Jones has firmly established himself as the WR2. David Njoku is enjoying a breakout season, as well.

 

Betting Picks

No man embodies the Browns’ identity more than Chubb. Last season, he was second in rushing yards across the league behind Jonathan Taylor and now he trails only Saquon Barkley, who Chubb trails by just four yards.

Chubb leads the NFL with 15 runs of 10+ yards, which are more than 25 NFL teams, and he’s forced 32 missed tackles on rushes this year, 10 more than his nearest rival.

Chubb didn’t find the end zone in Week 1, when the Browns struggled to beat the Panthers, but since then he has been unstoppable. Chubb has five touchdowns in his last three games.

Chubb is -125 to score again on Sunday, which looks like a great price given his dominance and importance to the team. Dameon Pierce, James Robinson, Jerick McKinnon and Brandon Bolden have all scored against the Chargers this season, and Chubb should add his name to that list.

FanDuel Quickslip: Chubb Anytime Touchdown (-125)

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