Colts vs. Texans Betting Pick for Thursday Night Football: NFL System Pointing to Over/Under Value

Credit:

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Indianapolis Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett (7) and defensive end Margus Hunt (92)

  • The over/under for tonight's Thursday Night Football showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans opened with a line of 46.5.
  • The public is unsurprisingly betting on the Over 46.5 at a 65% clip, but despite that, the odds haven't moved at all.
  • Our NFL model picks out the optimal way to bet tonight's over/under based on thousands of historical data points

Tonight’s Colts vs. Texans game on Thursday Night Football is a massive one for the AFC South. Both teams currently sit at 6-4, so the winner will take a one-game lead in the division with just just five weeks to go in the NFL season.

While many expected Houston to be in the running for a divisional crown, Indy has to be considered a surprise after the sudden the retirement of Andrew Luck prior to the start of the regular season.

The Texans are a 3.5-point home favorites for this matchup and 64% of bettors expect them to cover the spread.

However, when it comes to historical betting value, our NFL Pro Systems actually point to an over/under angle with a 62.3% win rate since 2005.

Let’s look at what history says about tonight’s Colts vs. Texans Thursday Night Football matchup.

Colts vs. Texans Betting Pick for Thursday Night Football

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