Colts vs Titans NFL Week 7 Picks, Predictions

Colts vs Titans NFL Week 7 Picks, Predictions article feature image

Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Alec Pierce.

  • The Colts are road underdogs against the division-rival Titans.
  • Tennessee won the first matchup between these teams back in Week 4.
  • Sam Farley breaks down the matchup and which player prop he's betting below.

Colts vs. Titans Odds

Sunday, Oct. 23
1 p.m. ET
Colts Odds+2.5
Titans Odds-2.5
Moneyline+120 / -142
Odds via FanDuel.

Sunday brings an AFC South tilt as the Colts travel to Nashville to face the Titans. Both teams sit on three wins and two losses, though Indianapolis also has a tie on its record.

With two of the NFL's best running backs on display in Derrick Henry and Jonathan Taylor, you're probably expecting a wager based on the ground game — but instead we're highlighting rookie wideout who is excelling for Indy.

Here is my Colts vs Titans NFL Week 7 pick and prediction.

Colts vs. Titans Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Colts and Titans match up statistically:

Colts vs. Titans DVOA Breakdown
Overall DVOA3117
Pass DVOA3029
Rush DVOA323
Overall DVOA1913
Pass DVOA1118
Rush DVOA186

For the past few seasons, the common belief has been that the Colts were just a QB away from a Super Bowl. This season has shown that to be a fallacy.

Indianapolis has actually moved away from its known identity of being dominant on the ground as only four teams — Bills, Dolphins, Chargers, Chiefs — have averaged more passing yards per game.

That offensive philosophical shift has resulted in last year's rushing yards leader Jonathan Taylor putting up disappointing numbers, with just 328 yards and one touchdown through four games. Though it's worth noting that he missed the last two games due to an ankle injury.

Wideout Michael Pittman Jr. was primed for a breakout season, but he has only surpassed 100 yards twice and scored once in five games. He continues to be a target magnet, however, averaging 10.4 per contest.

The Titans' offense took some time to get going this year. Henry's first 100-yard rushing game didn't come up until Week 5, though he's still racked up scores with five touchdowns in as many contests. As an added bonus, he's also seen 13 targets over his past three games.

The wide receiver position has been a cause of concern for the Titans with rookie Treylon Burks on injured reserve after showing promise over the first couple weeks.

Robert Woods and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine have led the way at WR while RB Dontrell Hilliard has also been effective in the passing game with the Titans moving him around the field.

Betting Picks

Last week, Alec Pierce hauled in his first touchdown in the NFL. The former Cincinnati Bearcat has impressed both Colts fans and QB Matt Ryan, who has praised the 2022 second-round pick.

Pierce has incredible physical traits and has been growing into the offense. Over his past four games, he's put up 271 yards on 18 catches (27 targets). Although the Colts will lean on Taylor more now that he's returned to fitness, they won't forget about Pierce, who is second among rookies in receiving yards per game behind only New Orleans' Chris Olave.

Pierce is a contested-catch specialist and looks like he could at least become the 1B to Pittman's 1A.

His receiving yards total sits at 43.5, a number he's beaten in each of the past four weeks. It's a line I'd take the over on all the way up to 46.5. The +450 on him to score isn't bad value either.

Pick: Alec Pierce Over 43.5 Receiving Yards | Bet to 46.5

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