NFL Props
NFL Expert Prop Bets
GB
7-3-1
DET
7-4
6:00 PM
FOX
KC
6-5
DAL
5-5-1
9:30 PM
CBS
CIN
3-8
BAL
6-5
1:20 AM
NBC/Peacock
CHI
8-3
PHI
8-3
8:00 PM
Amazon Prime Video
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 44-119-2 (+6.7u)
Most RB rec yds Thanksgiving: J.Gibbs+190
GB
@DET
0.5u
11/27 6:00 PM
But don't worry, we're playing Jahmyr Gibbs too — just as a receiver!
The Packers have allowed at least four receptions to opposing RBs in 8-of-11 games. In fact, they've allowed exactly four or five RB catches seven times with one huge outlier — 14 to the Lions back in Week 1.
Gibbs had 10 catches in that one, and he's running more routes with LaPorta out. Gibbs has been the second-highest Detroit player in first-read target shares each of the last two weeks, and the Packers tend to bleed RB catches because of their style of defense leaving things open underneath.
Gibbs has four games of 5+ receptions in all three NFL seasons, and that looks to be on the table here so play 5+ receptions at +150 (bet365).
He's had five games in his career with 7+ catches, including last time against the Packers with 10 and last week against the Giants with 11, so play 7+ receptions at +600 (bet365).
Gibbs is also +190 to record the most receiving yards by a RB on Thanksgiving at DraftKings. I like him as a clear favorite there, with Chase Brown the most likely threat.
15
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 44-119-2 (+6.7u)
J.Gibbs 7+ Receptions Yes+600
GB
@DET
0.25u
11/27 6:00 PM
But don't worry, we're playing Jahmyr Gibbs too — just as a receiver!
The Packers have allowed at least four receptions to opposing RBs in 8-of-11 games. In fact, they've allowed exactly four or five RB catches seven times with one huge outlier — 14 to the Lions back in Week 1.
Gibbs had 10 catches in that one, and he's running more routes with LaPorta out. Gibbs has been the second-highest Detroit player in first-read target shares each of the last two weeks, and the Packers tend to bleed RB catches because of their style of defense leaving things open underneath.
Gibbs has four games of 5+ receptions in all three NFL seasons, and that looks to be on the table here so play 5+ receptions at +150 (bet365).
He's had five games in his career with 7+ catches, including last time against the Packers with 10 and last week against the Giants with 11, so play 7+ receptions at +600 (bet365).
Gibbs is also +190 to record the most receiving yards by a RB on Thanksgiving at DraftKings. I like him as a clear favorite there, with Chase Brown the most likely threat.
11
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 44-119-2 (+6.7u)
J.Gibbs 5+ Receptions Yes+150
GB
@DET
0.75u
11/27 6:00 PM
But don't worry, we're playing Jahmyr Gibbs too — just as a receiver!
The Packers have allowed at least four receptions to opposing RBs in 8-of-11 games. In fact, they've allowed exactly four or five RB catches seven times with one huge outlier — 14 to the Lions back in Week 1.
Gibbs had 10 catches in that one, and he's running more routes with LaPorta out. Gibbs has been the second-highest Detroit player in first-read target shares each of the last two weeks, and the Packers tend to bleed RB catches because of their style of defense leaving things open underneath.
Gibbs has four games of 5+ receptions in all three NFL seasons, and that looks to be on the table here so play 5+ receptions at +150 (bet365).
He's had five games in his career with 7+ catches, including last time against the Packers with 10 and last week against the Giants with 11, so play 7+ receptions at +600 (bet365).
Gibbs is also +190 to record the most receiving yards by a RB on Thanksgiving at DraftKings. I like him as a clear favorite there, with Chase Brown the most likely threat.
14
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 44-119-2 (+6.7u)
D.Montgomery Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
GB
@DET
0.4u
11/27 6:00 PM
I wanted Lions RB overs last week against the Giants; I leaned Jahmyr Gibbs between the two options, but didn't pull the trigger and missed out on a monster day.
It sure looks like Gibbs is the guy now with Dan Campbell calling plays — and only five and six carries for David Montgomery the past two weeks — but be careful.
Montgomery's snaps are still there, but his power rushing attack hasn't fit the style of attack as well; Gibbs' snaps are indeed up a bit, but that looks more like a symptom of increased 21 personnel, with two backs on the field and Sam LaPorta hurt.
Last week looked like a Gibbs week because the Giants are so bad defending outside runs — and boy, did we see it! — but the Lions are actually better running inside, top eight by EPA per play versus bottom eight outside. The Packers are also far worse defending inside runs, bottom 10 versus fringe top-five outside.
That could make this more of a Montgomery game, and he's been the guy against the Packers. Even with Gibbs on the team, Montgomery has racked up 11, 14, 15, 17 and 32 carries in five games against Green Bay, averaging 17.8 carries for 68 yards.
It's volume I want for Monty, but 10+ rushing attempts at -125 doesn't feel worth it with his lower volume lately.
But in these three season with Gibbs, Montgomery has a touchdown in 23-of-30 games (77%) when he does have double-digit carries, so play an Anytime Touchdown instead at +140 (bet365).
As for rushing attempts, skip the median outcome and take a shot on the high end in case the Lions find success inside and continue to pound the run game with Knuckles: 15+ rush attempts at +700 (bet365).
25
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 44-119-2 (+6.7u)
D.Montgomery o14.5 Rush Att+700
GB
@DET
0.1u
11/27 6:00 PM
I wanted Lions RB overs last week against the Giants; I leaned Jahmyr Gibbs between the two options, but didn't pull the trigger and missed out on a monster day.
It sure looks like Gibbs is the guy now with Dan Campbell calling plays — and only five and six carries for David Montgomery the past two weeks — but be careful.
Montgomery's snaps are still there, but his power rushing attack hasn't fit the style of attack as well; Gibbs' snaps are indeed up a bit, but that looks more like a symptom of increased 21 personnel, with two backs on the field and Sam LaPorta hurt.
Last week looked like a Gibbs week because the Giants are so bad defending outside runs — and boy, did we see it! — but the Lions are actually better running inside, top eight by EPA per play versus bottom eight outside. The Packers are also far worse defending inside runs, bottom 10 versus fringe top-five outside.
That could make this more of a Montgomery game, and he's been the guy against the Packers. Even with Gibbs on the team, Montgomery has racked up 11, 14, 15, 17 and 32 carries in five games against Green Bay, averaging 17.8 carries for 68 yards.
It's volume I want for Monty, but 10+ rushing attempts at -125 doesn't feel worth it with his lower volume lately.
But in these three season with Gibbs, Montgomery has a touchdown in 23-of-30 games (77%) when he does have double-digit carries, so play an Anytime Touchdown instead at +140 (bet365).
As for rushing attempts, skip the median outcome and take a shot on the high end in case the Lions find success inside and continue to pound the run game with Knuckles: 15+ rush attempts at +700 (bet365).
17
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-57-0 (-0.3u)
C.Watson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
GB
@DET
0.5u
11/27 6:00 PM
7
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 5-5-2 (-0.5u)
D.Montgomery u38.5 Rush Yds-110
GB
@DET
1.1u
11/27 6:00 PM
3
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 21-31-1 (-12.4u)
J.Love o1.5 Pass TDs-114
GB
@DET
1u
11/27 6:00 PM
1
PRO
NFL Prop Projections
NFL Prop Odds Comparison
| Player | Best Odds | Consensus |
|---|---|---|
N/A | -247 | |
N/A | -230 | |
 DET | N/A | -190 |
N/A | -170 | |
N/A | -165 |
Expert Analysis on NFL Props
Prop Bets By Game
GB @ DET
Thursday 11/27 6:00pm
KC @ DAL
Thursday 11/27 9:30pm
CIN @ BAL
Friday 11/28 1:20am
CHI @ PHI
Friday 11/28 8:00pm
HOU @ IND
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
SF @ CLE
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
ARI @ TB
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
NO @ MIA
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
LA @ CAR
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
ATL @ NYJ
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
JAC @ TEN
Sunday 11/30 6:00pm
MIN @ SEA
Sunday 11/30 9:05pm
LV @ LAC
Sunday 11/30 9:25pm
BUF @ PIT
Sunday 11/30 9:25pm
DEN @ WAS
Monday 12/01 1:20am
NYG @ NE
Tuesday 12/02 1:15am
NFL Player Prop Categories
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What is an NFL Prop?
Proposition bets, more commonly known as prop bets, are wagers that are placed on side outcomes that do not necessarily directly affect the outcome of the game. Some examples of NFL Prop bets are a player’s over/under in rushing yards for a given game or season or an over/under on how much a team will score in a game.
Most Common NFL Player Props
At some of the best sportsbooks (check out our FanDuel Promo Code, DraftKings Promo Code, and ESPN BET Promo Code) bettors will not have a shortage of NFL prop bets to choose from for the 2025-2026 NFL season.
Some of the most common NFL player prop markets that you can wager on for season-long outcomes and week-to-week throughout the season include anytime touchdown props, passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, first touchdown scorer, touchdown passes, and receptions.
What to Consider Before Placing NFL Prop Bets
Before diving into the best NFL prop bets, you must set aside an appropriate bankroll and, ultimately, bet well within your means and responsibly.
Next, you want to make sure you do plenty of research. There is so much content, information, and analytic insight that you can dive into regarding specific matchups and trends that can help make you a winning bettor.
And finally, make sure to have fun! As long as you are betting within your means, betting on NFL player props should be for entertainment purposes first and foremost.
Want More?
Aside from our NFL prop bets hub, we have plenty of resources available to you, such as NFL Odds, NFL Futures, NFL Picks, and NFL ATS Standings.
How Our Tools Work
At Action Network Pro, users can create sports betting edges using our tool. Just toggle the “All Props” drop-down menu, and you’ll find a list of +EV (plus expected value) NFL player props using our tool.
As a sports bettor, the objective is to create a positive expected value, a probability gap between a bettor’s line and a sportsbook. For example, our Action Pros may set a line of -180 versus a price of -110, commonly found at major online sportsbooks. This would create a 22.74% edge!
At Action Pro, using our tool, we’ll designate the best price depending on whichever player prop menu you want to use, and we’ll compare that price versus our own to see if there is any edge you can take advantage of!
NFL Player Props FAQs
Where can I bet NFL player props?
Almost every major American sportsbook will offer NFL player props, though some have more than others.
What kind of NFL props do sportsbooks offer?
NFL props have become a massive part of the betting handle in the last few years as legal sportsbooks try to out-innovate each other.
Here are some other props offered:
Player to score a touchdown
Player to score the first TD
Over/under receiving yards, passing yards, etc.
Longest completion over/under a pre-deteremined amount
Player to score 2+ touchdowns
Are NFL props a good bet?
It depends on the bet, of course. But NFL player props are often a more exploitable market than sides and totals, which have higher limits and are more efficient.