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Giants vs Commanders Odds, Pick, Prediction: Play This Saquon Barkley Player Prop

Giants vs Commanders Odds, Pick, Prediction: Play This Saquon Barkley Player Prop article feature image
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Cooper Neill/Getty Images. Pictured: Saquon Barkley.

Giants vs Commanders Odds

Sunday, Dec. 4
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Giants Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+2.5
-115
40.5
-110o / -110u
+110
Commanders Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-2.5
-105
40.5
-110o / -110u
-130
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

This Sunday, the Commanders will be at MetLife stadium to face the Giants in an NFC East clash. The division currently has all four teams in a playoff spot.

Both teams have surpassed expectations this season, but they are going in opposite directions entering Sunday’s game — the Commanders have won three straight while the Giants have lost back-to-back, including three of their past four. So how should we approach this pivotal game?

Let’s dive into this divisional clash.

Commanders vs. Giants Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Commanders and Giants match up statistically:

Commanders vs. Giants DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 26 28
Pass DVOA 26 28
Rush DVOA 25 27
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 16 11
Pass DVOA 12 14
Rush DVOA 11 4

The Commanders are 7-5 on the season and have delivered performances that will please their long-suffering fans.

Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has been impressive since taking the starting spot on the roster, but he still feels like a stopgap until the team finally gets its superstar under center.


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The running back tandem of Brian Robinson Jr and Antonio Gibson have promise. Gibson is the big-play threat, capable of incredible moments but Robinson has hugely improved since his first few games, where he looked very poor.

As always the star of the show for the Commanders is Terry McLaurin, one of the league’s best wideouts, especially given the quarterback play that he’s had to endure since entering the league.

The hosts came into this year needing Daniel Jones to show whether he is the team’s franchise quarterback; he’s answered a lot of those questions and has taken a notable leap in 2022.

There’s only one star on the Giants roster — unless Odell Beckham Jr decides if he will be returning to play in New York — and that’s Saquon Barkley. He’s the finest athlete in the NFL and he’s currently fourth in the race to be the NFL’s rushing leader.

Betting Picks

I think the most valuable bet for this game features the dual-threat Penn State alum, Barkley. Over the past four weeks, he’s been less of a threat in the passing game with a total of 43 receiving yards over that stretch.

We’re backing Saquon to hit the under on his receiving yards here as well, with the line currently standing at 20.5 yards. He’s gone under that total for four weeks in a row and  seven times in 11 games so far this season; it’s notable how ineffective he’s in the Giants’ passing game.

The Commanders have also been very effective at stopping running backs in the passing game, with only three teams allowing fewer receiving yards to running backs than the Commanders.

Recent trends tell us that Barkley has struggled in the passing game and with the Commanders being amongst the best in the league and locking down running backs then it’s wise to bet against him.

Pick: Saquon Barkley Under 20.5 Receiving Yards | Bet to 19.5

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