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The Los Angeles Rams (1-1) and Denver Broncos (1-1) meet tonight on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Col. The game will broadcast live on NBC.
Rams vs Broncos odds list the Rams as -116 favorites on the moneyline and the Broncos as -102 underdogs. The over/under is 44.5 (-105o / -115u). The Rams are 1.5-point favorites on the spread (Rams -1.5).
Below, you can find my SNF betting preview, which includes my Rams vs Broncos predictions, trends and inactives for both teams, the weather forecast and more.
Rams vs Broncos Predictions, Picks
- Rams vs Broncos pick: Under 44.5
My Rams vs Broncos best bet is on game totals, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Rams vs Broncos Odds
| Rams Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 -102 | 44.5 -105o / -115u | -116 |
| Broncos Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 44.5 -105o / -115u | -102 |
Rams vs Broncos Preview: LA Toothless Without Puka?
Rams Preview
The Rams did a much better job defensively on Monday Night Football, playing sound run defense against the Giants (2.7 yards per carry allowed).
The Rams project as a top-10 defense this season, at least, let’s assume they are.
Both quarterbacks in tonight's game, Matthew Stafford and Bo Nix, were much more aggressive in Week 2, throwing the ball down the field more than Week 1. Also, both attempted 13 passes more than 10 yards past the line of scrimmage in their respective victories last week — they will not have the luxury of being as comfortable in the pocket tonight.
Even without Myles Garrett, Los Angeles posted the second-best pressure rate league-wide in Week 2 at 50%.
The Rams will feature a defensive back in Trent McDuffie who matches up well with the Broncos' top target, Jaylen Waddle.
Broncos head coach Sean Payton and offensive coordinator Davis Webb do a good job of moving Waddle around the formation, but McDuffie is one of the most versatile defensive backs in football, doing his best work playing in the slot.
Broncos Preview
Despite surrendering 31 points to the Chiefs on Monday Night Football two weeks ago in what was a historic debut for Kenneth Walker, the Broncos defense projects as one of the league’s best units. Denver’s performance against Kansas City was a total outlier, as it missed tackles at a 29% rate.
In the Broncos' win over the Jaguars in Week 2, Denver missed just 10 tackles. Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph slowed down Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars’ offense in a manner few teams have since the middle of last season. Jacksonville gained 268 total yards and Lawrence averaged just 6.5 yards per attempt.
The matchup for the Broncos defense tonight couldn’t be more clear-cut and they will have the home crowd to aid them.
The Rams will be without Puka Nacua (groin) once again this week and unlike the Giants, Denver has the personnel to counter Davante Adams.
Pat Surtain II is the perfect player to make the Rams find other avenues to move the football through the air.
Advanced metrics show that Denver has played the run relatively well given the small sample size. The Broncos' 1.34 yards before contact per attempt allowed to opposing runners ranks 10th, even with their poor performance taken into account versus Walker and the Chiefs.
The Broncos were the third-best defense a season ago in this same metric — if they can stop the run and put Matthew Stafford behind the sticks while simultaneously locking up Adams, I struggle to envision the Rams putting up an abundance of points. Opposing teams averaged just 16.8 points per game when playing in Denver in the 2025 regular season.
As for the Broncos' pass rush, it needs no introduction — their pressure rate is the ninth-highest through two weeks but their opponents' average time to throw is 2.55 seconds (per Next Gen Stats), which is the least amount generated by any defense.
The Broncos offense, however, has only played one efficient half of football and they face a more difficult task. The Broncos rank 17th in rushing success rate, but that number does not tell the entire story.
Their host of running backs often get what is blocked, but nothing more. Collectively, they have combined to force three missed tackles this season — the fewest in the league.
Bo Nix and Sean Payton have struggled when stepping up in competition over the last two seasons. When squaring off with a top-10 scoring defense, the Broncos' third-down conversion rate drops from a respectable 40.5% to 31.2%.
When Denver has taken on teams outside of the top 10, it has averaged 22.4 points per game, but the number dips to 16.8 points per game when tasked with a more difficult endeavor.
Sunday Night Football Prediction — Over/Under Pick
If you simply bet the under in every night game over the past five regular seasons before 2026, you’d be cashing at a 56.6% rate, with your highest ROI coming on Sunday nights, with 59.8% of those games failing to reach the oddsmakers’ total.
The Broncos have hosted 11 primetime games over the past seven seasons — nine of those games have gone under the total.
The Broncos are 11-6 to the under in their last 17 home games and this one is lining up to continue this trend.
Whether it is the Rams playing without their best skill player in Puka Nacua or the Broncos offense still adjusting to playcaller Davis Webb, neither of these teams will reach the heights they’re capable of this season offensively.
I am willing to play this under down to 43.5, but shop for the best line.
Pick: Under 44.5; bet to 43.5
Rams vs Broncos Props: Blake Corum
- Blake Corum over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-113; DraftKings)
— By Sean Koerner
Denver ranks 28th in DVOA against the run, and I don’t expect them to be that bad going forward. DVOA also doesn't fully capture context like Kansas City suddenly becoming a much more dangerous rushing offense with Kenneth Walker.
What I care about more is how Denver has been getting hurt. The Broncos have been vulnerable on outside runs, allowing 1+ yards before contact at a high rate and the sixth-most yards before contact on outside runs. That showed up against Bhayshul Tuten against the Jaguars — not just Walker.
That’s a pretty perfect fit for Blake Corum. On outside runs from 13 personnel, where he gets at least a yard before contact, he averaged 6.8 yards per carry last year, fourth among qualified backs, and he’s at 7.7 YPC on those runs this year.
Without Nacua, I’m expecting the Rams to lean more run heavy and use more heavy TE personnel, which should create more of those looks.
Corum is game-script dependent, so if the Rams fall behind by 1-2 scores early, this gets ugly fast.
But they’re only 1.5-point road favorites, and after getting blown out in Week 1, I’m projecting them to play with the lead at roughly a 34% higher rate than they have through the first two games combined.
That should simply be a much better volume environment for Corum.
I have him closer to 51.5 rushing yards with around a 59% chance to clear 46.5, and I really like the upside here for the best backup RB in football.
Rams vs Broncos Trends for SNF
Rams Trends
- Sean McVay has faced Sean Payton four times as head coaches. McVay is 3-1 SU/ATS, with the under 3-1 in those games
- Matthew Stafford is 29-14-1 to the Under in primetime (8p ET or later) in his career (since 2011)
Broncos Trends
- The Broncos are 12-4 to the Under in September over the last five seasons
- Bo Nix is 16-3 SU and 13-6 ATS at home in his career as a starter
Sunday Night Football Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Empower Field at Mile High |
| Date: | Sunday, Sept. 27 |
| Time: | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | NBC |
Rams vs Broncos Inactives & Injuries
Rams Inactives, Injuries
Puka Nacua (hip)
Kamren Kinchens (hamstring)
CJ Daniels
Tutu Atwell
Ty Simpson (emergency QB)
Maximus Pulley
Bill Murray
Rams inactives via Sarah Barshop
Broncos Inactives, Injuries
Marvin Mims Jr. (foot)
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Kage Casey
Dallen Bentley
Tyler Onyedim
Sai'vion Jones
Sam Ehlinger (emergency QB)
Inactives via Broncos.com
