Eagles Now Super Bowl Favorites After Beating Chiefs
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The Eagles are now the consensus Super Bowl favorites after beating the Chiefs on Monday Night Football.
Kansas City had been the team to beat in the NFL before Monday's game. The Eagles won a chippy game in which both teams didn't play particularly well — but it was enough to buoy Philadelphia over the Chiefs and 49ers to regain control of the Super Bowl marketplace.
Despite the win, the Eagles only increased their chances for a bye and home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs by roughly 6%. Philly fans will be watching Thanksgiving Day games closely, seeing as the Lions, Cowboys and 49ers all play while eying the same, coveted No. 1 seed.
Meanwhile, the team with the starkest lead in the advanced metrics market comes in fourth behind the aforementioned trio. The Ravens are +850 at DraftKings despite leading the DVOA race substantially — in fact, the Ravens had been rated as the best 7-3 team in history, according to that metric, prior to Week 11's contests.
After the Ravens, a cluster of the Dolphins, Lions and Cowboys are bunched up as tier 3. The Dolphins get a ton of love from the advanced metrics on the offensive side of the ball — but their defense leaves a lot to be desired. Since Jalen Ramsey returned from injury, however, that unit has looked far more clinical.
The Lions are still skating along and have by far the shortest odds in the NFL to win their division. Barring a Josh Dobbs miracle, they're a shoe-in for their first playoff home game in 30 years.
And the Cowboys have an elite offense and defense but aren't regarded as a major player by the retail betting public. How substantially will that change after a gauntlet five weeks? After Thanksgiving, Dallas hosts the Seahawks then Eagles, play at Buffalo, at Miami, then host the Lions.