Giants vs. Cowboys Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props: Malik Nabers, Jalen Tolbert

Giants vs. Cowboys Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props: Malik Nabers, Jalen Tolbert article feature image
Credit:

Luke Hales/Getty Images. Pictured: Malik Nabers.

The middle game of the NFL Thanksgiving slate on Thursday features an NFC East clash between the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys. The game is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on FOX.

This game has the lowest total of the NFL Week 13 slate, but nonetheless, I have two Giants vs. Cowboys anytime touchdown scorer bets for Thursday.

Giants vs. Cowboys Anytime Touchdown Picks

  • WR Malik Nabers +240 (Caesars)
  • WR Jalen Tolbert +380 (DraftKings)
Koerner's Giants vs. Cowboys Prediction Image

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Malik Nabers Anytime Touchdown (+210)

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Nabers saw nine targets last week with Tommy DeVito at quarterback, and while most of those looks were in the second half, Nabers was clearly upset in the postgame interview about his usage.

I believe he will be heavily involved on Thursday. Any WR that averages 11.4 targets per game shouldn’t be over +200, regardless of the quarterback situation or defensive matchup.

When these teams played in Week 5, Nabers was a beast — 11 catches and 115 yards — and there’s a decent chance Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs could still be limited for this one.

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Jalen Tolbert +380

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The first option you likely want on the Cowboys is WR CeeDee Lamb. He scored against the Giants in Week 5 and he has the best receiver metrics versus zone and man defenses.

At +175, my biggest trepidation is his quarterback — Cooper Rush doesn’t seem to like to push the ball down field.

Lamb had 11 catches in Week 12 but only 67 yards. In four games with Rush, Lamb has 32 catches (46 targets) for a measly 228 yards. For some WRs, averaging 7.1 yards per catch would be great, but for Lamb, that’s a disaster. Of those 46 targets, only four have been inside the 20-yard line.

If you still want to bet on Lamb, I wouldn’t talk you out of it since the Giants rank last in defensive DVOA versus WR1s. And of the 10 TDs they've allowed to WRs in 2024, six of those have gone to the WR1.

For me, I’d rather bank on WR2 Jalen Tolbert (+380). He’s caught two touchdowns with Rush at QB, plays over 80% of snaps and has the same amount of red-zone looks as Lamb in the last four games.

About the Author
Gilles Gallant is a sports betting expert at the Action Network, specializing in NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. A regular contributor to The Action Network Podcast and YouTube shows like Action Island and Bet What Happens Live, Gilles has been betting on the NFL since 2012 and honed his profitable strategy in 2018. With a background at Odds Shark and FTN Network, he’s known for his expertise in NFL and other sports markets like NBA and MLB. Gilles holds a degree in broadcast journalism from Nova Scotia Community College and is a Certified Sales Professional.​

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