Giants vs Jets: NFL Preseason Odds, Picks, Predictions
Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Brian Daboll.
- The Giants and Jets face off this afternoon at MetLife Stadium.
- The Jets are favored, despite the Giants' 2-0 record this preseason.
- Check out our staff's two favorite picks for these teams' NFL preseason finale.
Giants vs. Jets Odds
|Moneyline||+175 / -210|
|Time||Sunday, 1 p.m. ET|
|Odds via Caesars. Get the latest NFL odds here.|
Something’s gotta give when a pair of 2-0 New York franchises square off on Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium.
The Giants and Jets will finish their pre-regular-season prep against each other. Obviously, the injury to Zach Wilson has made this an unsuccessful August for New York. The Giants, meanwhile, have renewed optimism that Brian Daboll can turn the ship around.
We have two NFL analysts with picks on this game. Check out how Brandon Anderson and Blake Krass are betting this one.
Brandon Anderson: It’s the Battle for New York!!
Okay, you’re right. Preseason means not much of a battle, and besides, this Battle for New York has already been lost to the Buffalo Bills … and to the Yankees and Knicks and Rangers, if we’re being honest. Still, New York fans are getting a little excited for a pair of football teams that finally appear to be headed in the right direction.
The Jets feature second-year coach Robert Saleh and QB Zach Wilson – once he’s healthy – and they have a bunch of fun young weapons and a ton of returning talent on defense. The Giants, meanwhile, finally cleaned house administratively to start fresh with coach Brian Daboll, and they too added a heap of talent on both sides, starting with two top-10 draft picks in Evan Neal and Kayvon Thibodeaux. There’s reason for optimism, finally, in New York.
Of course, Thibodeaux and Wilson won’t be playing this one. Both got hurt in the preseason, and we’re playing mostly backups anyway. But we can ignore the names and play a positive trend instead.
Home field matters less and less in the modern NFL, and in preseason it’s basically a wash. But books are still pricing home-field advantage a bit, and that means it’s been typically profitable to bet on short ‘dogs – especially in a game where the “road” team is literally from across town and doesn’t need to travel.
BetLabs tells us it’s a profitable endeavor to play short road preseason dogs. Since 2004, such underdogs of three points or fewer were 261-281 entering the weekend, netting moneyline bettors a 10.2% return on investment (ROI). That trend has been even stronger since 2018, with short road preseason dogs an impressive 53-31 straight up, returning a ridiculous 41.4% for moneyline bettors.
I’ll trust the trends and back the fake “road” team here with a play on Giants moneyline. Let’s close this preseason out in style.
Blake Krass: The Giants are 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS this preseason. This week, they’re finally dogs against their crosstown rivals.
The Jets are also 2-0 this preseason but have really struggled in the first half of both games. They trailed the Falcons 16-3 last week and the Eagles 14-3 in the first week, ultimately coming back to win both games. That means the Jets have managed to come back and win with mostly third-stringers on the field.
As this is the final week of the preseason, we are likely to see more playing time for the starters. For the Giants, we should see Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor play most of the game. That gives the Giants an edge at the QB position with Zach Wilson still out for the Jets. Jones has looked really strong this preseason and just went 14-of-15 in joint practice against the Jets.
Brain Daboll has this Giants team moving in the right direction and has managed to motivate this team to two wins so far this preseason. I think this game will come down to the wire and the Giants will either cover as short ‘dogs or get the outright win. I’d play this to Giants +3.
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