NFL Odds & Picks for Colts vs. Titans: Model Projections Show Thursday Night Football Betting Edge


Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images. Pictured: Jayon Brown #55 of the Tennessee Titans.

  • After opening as 2.5-point underdogs, the Indianapolis Colts have now flipped to 1-point favorites against the Tennessee Titans.
  • Has this Thursday Night Football spread moved too much? Our NFL betting analyst PJ Walsh uses our data to find value on this game.

NFL Odds: Colts vs. Titans

Colts Odds -1
Titans Odds +1
Over/Under 48.5
PRO Projections Titans -2.3 | O/U: 49.6
Time/Channel  8:20 p.m. ET, FOX
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Professionals are on the Indianapolis Colts for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup against the Tennessee Titans — that is a fact.

But remember, making a general statement regarding the “sharp side” of any game is meaningless without also including the line.

In multiple waves, smart money came in on Indy at +2 or better, driving Colts vs. Titans odds to a consensus of Indianapolis -1. Sharps have shown very little interest at this number, suggesting that Colts spread value is all but gone.

However, those interested in taking Tennessee now have a better number and the luxury of grabbing the Titans as home underdogs. So, has wiseguy action driven this number far enough to buy back the undervalued Titans?

According to our NFL PRO Projections, the answer is clear …

NFL Picks: Colts vs. Titans

Colts vs. Titans odds have adjusted from Indy +2.5 earlier this week to -1 (click here for live NFL odds), and our PRO Projections now have Tennessee popping with value.

Our NFL model projects this true line to be Tennessee -2.3, indicating there is reason to buy back the Titans as home underdogs.

In fact, the difference between the current spread and our projection represents an 8.1% edge, which earns Titans +1 a grade of A-.

At the time of writing, there are four additional Week 10 games with edges of at least 4%, so be sure to sign up for a FREE PRO Trial now and jump on these lines before odds start moving.

PRO Projections Pick: Titans +1

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