NFL Odds & Picks for Thursday Night Football: Patriots vs. Rams Top Betting Edge (Dec. 10)

NFL Odds & Picks for Thursday Night Football: Patriots vs. Rams Top Betting Edge (Dec. 10) article feature image
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Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick and Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay

  • Our NFL projections are suggesting some slight value on a pick for tonight's Patriots vs. Rams matchup on Thursday Night Football, and it appears to be drawing action from big bettors.
  • The Rams are 5-point favorites over New England and the total is set at 44.5.
  • PJ Walsh details the two indicators suggesting a bit value below.

NFL Odds: Patriots vs. Rams

Patriots Odds +5
Rams Odds -5
Over/Under 44.5
PRO Projections Rams -3.7 | O/U: 43.1
Time/Channel  8:20 p.m. ET, FOX
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A key characteristic of winning sports bettors is the ability to acquire and analyze as much information as possible before making wagering decisions.

And this doesn’t necessarily mean an actionable decision has to be made. Most likely a game is not worth betting, and passing on a play that doesn’t offer value is arguably the biggest difference between professional and casual bettors.

With this in mind, let’s allow our NFL PRO Projections to point us in the right direction for Patriots vs. Rams.

NFL Picks: Patriots vs. Rams

While not a massive chasm, our PRO Projections peg the Patriots vs. Rams over/under at 43.1, translating to an edge of 1.4% when compared to the current total of 44.5 (click here for the latest NFL odds).

Below is a screenshot of our projections feature, which offers the same data for every NFL matchup:

That earns the Patriots vs. Rams under a C grade, which alone may not be enough to inspire a wager.

For those still interested in the Thursday Night Football under, The Action Network’s NFL public betting data shows that bigger bettors, evidenced by 62% of the money on just 48% of the bets, are backing a lower-scoring game as well.

Again, value is in the eye of the beholder, and while not the biggest betting edge of NFL Week 14, two indicators are pointing toward the Rams vs. Patriots under for those so inclined.

PRO Projections Pick: Under 44.5

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