NFL Odds, Picks & Model Predictions: Texans vs. Lions Has Thanksgiving’s Biggest Betting Edge

NFL Odds, Picks & Model Predictions: Texans vs. Lions Has Thanksgiving’s Biggest Betting Edge article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Head coach Matt Patricia and Matthew Stafford #9 of the Detroit Lions

NFL Odds: Texans vs. Lions

Texans Odds -3
Lions Odds +3
Over/Under 51
PRO Projections Texans -0.8 | O/U: 51.4
Time/Channel  12:30 p.m. ET, CBS
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Not all NFL games are worth betting. In fact, betting too many games is one of the biggest mistakes made by recreational sports bettors.

This is amplified during standalone, primetime games as many casual bettors want action on those they’ll be watching as opposed to wagering solely on expected value.

Thanksgiving NFL games are prime examples — they attract significant attention from bettors because most people are off work and spending time with friends and family.

However, that doesn’t mean that Thanksgiving NFL games can’t be good, and sometimes even great, bets.

And after checking out our latest NFL PRO Projections, it’s easy to see that today’s Texans vs. Lions matchup is offering one that bettors should be targeting on Thanksgiving.

NFL Picks: Texans vs. Lions

Detroit is currently a 3-point home underdog against Houston (click here for live NFL odds), yet our model projects this game to be even closer.

The difference between Detroit’s projected spread of +0.8 and the market consensus of +3 boils down to an extremely bettable 7.8% edge.

That earns the Lions at +3 a solid A- grade from our PRO Projections feature.

PRO Projections Pick: Lions +3

Unlock all of Week 12’s biggest NFL edges

Chiefs vs. Bucs (+6.2% edge)

Raiders vs. Falcons (+6% edge)

Washington vs. Cowboys (+4.1% edge)
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