Best Week 17 NFL Prop Bets & Betting Picks at DraftKings
Stacy Revere/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes (15).
- Looking to close out the NFL season with some winning props?
- Matthew Freedman has analyzed all of the odds, compared them to our projections and found two picks worth betting right away at DraftKings.
- Be sure to act fast, as the odds for player props can move quickly.
DraftKings is consistently one of the first sportsbooks to post NFL player props each week, releasing lines on Friday afternoon for the slate of Sunday games.
Some lines for the Week 17 games have just been posted, and since the prop market moves quickly, I’m highlighting two bets I’m making immediately, based on the research I’ve done and the projections we have in the FantasyLabs Player Props Tool.
If you aren’t subscribing to FantasyLabs to get an edge on props, you’re living wrong.
This season, I’m 313-200-10 (+65.9) on NFL player props.
Odds as of Friday afternoon and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $200 and a deposit bonus of up to $500.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns
- Over 1.5: -195
- Under 1.5: +153
The Chargers have allowed just one multi-touchdown passing performance over their past eight games, and against the Chargers in Week 12, Mahomes had just one touchdown.
But No. 1 wide receiver Tyreek Hill was out for most of that game. In his six full games with Hill this year, Mahomes has averaged two touchdowns passing per game and gone over 1.5 four times.
In his two games against the Chargers last season, Mahomes went over 1.5 touchdowns both times and had a total of six.
In the FantasyLabs Props Tool, we have Mahomes projected for 2.1 passing touchdowns.
Pick: Over 1.5 (-195)
FantasyLabs Bet Quality Rating: 10 (out of 10)
Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott Receptions & Receiving Yards
- Receptions: Over 2.5 (-162) | Under 2.5 (+130)
- Receiving Yards: Over 21.5 (-125) | Under 21.5 (+100)
The Redskins have allowed the fourth-most receptions (92) and yards receiving (802) to opposing backfields, and over the past month, Zeke has become much more active as a receiver.
- Weeks 1-12 (11 games): 3.6 targets | 2.9 receptions | 23.6 yards
- Weeks 13-16 (four games): 6.5 targets | 4.8 receptions | 39.5 yards
In the FantasyLabs Props Tool, we have Zeke projected for 3.7 receptions and 30.3 yards receiving.
Pick: Over 2.5 (-162) | Over 21.5 (-125)
FantasyLabs Bet Quality Rating: 10 & 10
Freedman is 542-411-22 (56.9%) overall betting on the NFL. To see the rest of the player props he’s betting, follow him in The Action Network App as he’ll continue to fill out his prop card throughout the weekend.