NFL Week 4 Weather: How Windy Weather Will Impact Jaguars-Broncos Odds

Sep 29, 2019 03:39 PM EDT

Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brandon McManus.

  • High winds are set to impact two games this weekend, including Chargers vs. Dolphins (1 p.m. ET. CBS) and Jaguars vs. Broncos (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS).

The NFL season is almost a quarter of the way over, and as the calendar soon flips from September to October, the weather will follow suit.

A couple weeks ago I got up early to go golfing and it was like, 42 degrees out. What the hell? There’s still a good deal of warm weather this weekend, but don’t get too attached because winter is coming. Just not quite yet.

But forget all that talk about temperatures. Here’s how high wind speeds will impact two games this weekend.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Miami Dolphins

1 p.m. ET

You may not realize it, but Miami is one of the windiest spots in the NFL. In fact, with 65 games of 10+ mph wind speeds since 2003, it has more windy games than anywhere else in the league per Bet Labs. It’s also been one of the best places to take windy unders, posting a 38-27 record in those games.

This game is a strange one from a betting standpoint. Despite their on- and off-field buffoonery this year, the Dolphins are actually commanding the brunt of the bets and dollars, moving from +16.5 to +15. As for the total, bets are split despite the forecast calling for 17-mph winds. The line has dropped from 45 to 44.5 since opening.

Wind speeds this high will impact long passes and the kicking game, not that Josh Rosen needs any additional factors impacting his already poor passing ability. Unfortunately, Younghoe Koo isn’t on the Chargers anymore because then under bettors would really have an edge.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos

4:25 p.m. ET

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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