The Sunday slate of Week 5 concludes with the Buffalo Bills hosting the New England Patriots for Sunday Night Football on Oct. 5. Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast live on NBC.
For my Patriots vs Bills anytime touchdown props, I'm targeting Dalton Kincaid and Drake Maye.
Continue below for my anytime touchdown picks for Sunday Night Football.
Editor's Note: An anytime touchdown parlay is not the author's formal recommendation.
Patriots vs Bills Anytime Touchdown Props
- Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown (+250, BetMGM)
- Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+400, BetMGM)
Patriots vs Bills Anytime Touchdown Preview, Picks
Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown (+250)
Tight end Dalton Kincaid has three touchdowns in four games for the Bills, and it seems like he’s in good position to convert again since the Patriots' pass defense can’t stop a nosebleed.
According to PFF, the Patriots own the worst defensive pass success rate in the red zone, with five passing touchdowns allowed on just nine pass plays.
Not only that, New England is 28th in defensive DVOA against the pass through four games.
For Kincaid, he leads the Bills in red-zone target rate at 33%. After the Patriots allowed two touchdowns to tight ends against the Panthers last week, let’s take Kincaid to follow the trend.
Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown (+400)
Drake Maye is an intriguing touchdown play for Sunday Night Football. On four red-zone carries this season, he has two rushing touchdowns.
In 15 career starts, Maye has scored a rushing touchdown in four of those games, which should have him priced closer to +250 average odds.
Buffalo has struggled to stop the run all season, ranking in the bottom 10 in defensive success rate in the red zone against the run with five rushing touchdowns allowed. The Bills have also allowed the most rushing yards to quarterbacks.
New England’s running back room, for the most part, has been inconsistent and has committed some brutal turnovers.
If the Patriots get in scoring range, I fully expect Maye to call his own number.
