The Philadelphia Eagles (10-5) and Buffalo Bills (11-4) meet in NFL Week 17 on Sunday, Dec. 28. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y. The game will be broadcast live on FOX.
The Bills are 1.5-point favorites over the Eagles on the spread (Bills -1.5), with the over/under set at 44 total points. Buffalo is a -120 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Philadelphia is +100 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Eagles vs Bills prediction for today's Week 17 clash.
Eagles vs Bills Prediction
- Eagles vs Bills pick: Bills -1 (-110)
My Eagles vs Bills best bet is on Buffalo to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Eagles vs Bills Odds
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 44 -110o / -110u | +100 |
| Bills Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 44 -110o / -110u | -120 |
Eagles vs Bills Week 17 Preview
The Bills will host the Eagles in a pivotal Week 17 matchup on Sunday afternoon, with Buffalo still needing some wins down the stretch in order to secure a playoff spot in the AFC.
Lane Johnson remains out for a sixth straight game for the Eagles while Jalen Carter is set to make his return after missing three games due to his shoulders.
The Eagles put up points against the Raiders and Commanders, but that alone does not erase larger concerns. There are some signs of improvement, particularly with Jalen Hurts using his legs more, which is important for this offense.
Still, until Philadelphia's offense shows consistent progress against a competent defense, there is reason for skepticism.
Buffalo’s defense is not elite, but it is disciplined. Expect the Bills to play plenty of zone coverage designed to limit explosive plays. Until the Eagles prove they can sustain offense in that type of environment, doubts remain.
This matchup ultimately comes down to trusting Josh Allen at home against an Eagles team that, despite recent flashes, still looks broken offensively.
Eagles vs Bills Prediction, Betting Analysis
From a matchup standpoint, the Eagles defend tight ends well and the Bills do not have dominant outside receivers to consistently exploit Philadelphia’s secondary.
Even so, this is still Josh Allen at home in a game Buffalo needs to win. That alone carries significant weight.
The Eagles are banged up, and even if a few key players return, and the overall situation suggests a difficult week for them.
Philadelphia is a team that can resurface at any moment despite a lackluster season thus far, which makes fading them uncomfortable. However, given their health status and the fact they already have the division locked up, this does not feel like a game where the Eagles need to go super hard.
But again, Allen at home is the central angle here, regardless of whether the Bills are listed as small favorites or underdogs.
With uncertainty around other games due to quarterback situations and injuries, backing Allen at home is the simplest and most reliable spot.
Historically, Allen has been one of the most profitable quarterbacks against the spread when favored or catching fewer than three points, and that trend matters in a spot like this.
Pick: Bills -1 (-110)
Spread
My Bills vs Eagles betting prediction is on Buffalo to cover the spread.
Moneyline
I'm laying the short number with Buffalo on the spread instead of taking the juice on the moneyline.
Over/Under
No play on the total.
