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Eagles-Redskins Betting Preview: The Public Can’t Get Enough of Philly

Dec 28, 2018 11:59 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Adrian Peterson, Nick Foles

Betting odds: Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins

  • Spread: Eagles -6.5
  • Over/Under: 42
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Thursday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: This is a must-win game for Philly, which means 80% of bettors believe the Eagles will win by at least a touchdown at the time of writing (see live data here).

Don’t include sharp bettors in that 80%, though. In fact, the other 20% has been so sharp that oddsmakers were forced to move the line off the key number of seven.

There have been five reverse line moves on Washington at +7, which explains that movement, doesn’t it?Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Philadelphia opened as 7-point favorites in Washington. Since 2003, teams that opened as at least touchdown favorites on the road in December and January have gone 40-61-2 (40%) against the spread.

If the line moves away from those teams — like with the Eagles (-7 to -6.5) — these teams have gone 11-21-1 (34%) ATS. John Ewing

Playoff picture: This is probably the simplest playoff scenario of the week: To make the postseason, the Eagles need to win and have the Vikings lose to the Bears.

Our simulations give this a 37.5% chance of happening. Scott T. Miller