Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds, System Match: Can Philly Bounce Back for Bettors in Week 2?

Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds, System Match: Can Philly Bounce Back for Bettors in Week 2? article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11) and tight end Zach Ertz (86)

Rams vs. Eagles Betting Odds

Rams Odds -1.5 [Bet Now]
Eagles Odds +1.5 [Bet Now]
Over/Under 46 [Bet Now]
Time/Channel  1 p.m. ET on FOX

Odds as of Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET and via Parx, which offers new customers a 20% profit boost + $500 risk-free wager on their first bet AND your bets automatically sync to the Action app.

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Week 1 did not go as planned for the Philadelphia Eagles. After closing as a 5.5-point favorite against Washington, Doug Peterson’s team sprinted out to a 17-0 lead before the unthinkable happened … Philly gave up 27 unanswered points en route to a 27-17 loss.

The Eagles now get a home date with the Los Angeles Rams, who just topped the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.

In lookahead lines, the Eagles sat as 3.5-point favorites over the Rams for Week 2, but the number quickly adjusted to L.A. -1.5 following Sunday’s results.

This led me to ask the question: How do teams that lose straight up as favorites perform in Week 2?

Does an ugly season-opening loss begin a downward spiral? Or is there a market overreaction that savvy bettors can take advantage of?

Thanks to our Bet Labs data, this was an easy question to answer.

The Trend

Since the start of the 2003 season, NFL teams that lost as favorites in Week 1 are a stellar 40-28-1 (58.8%) against the spread (ATS) the following game.

In fact, underdogs, like the Eagles in Week 2, are 28-16-2 (63.6%) ATS in this situation compared to favorites at 18-18-1 ATS.


So there’s very clearly a market overreaction to season-opening results in this instance, and it makes sense. Bettors who are burned after a long offseason of grinding over Week 1 lines write those teams off immediately, even after just a single game.

Oddsmakers understand this and take advantage by shading lines toward the opponents in this scenario, which is even more supercharged this week considering the Rams, as underdogs, just took care of America’s Team in front of a nationally-televised Sunday Night Football audience.

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