Rovell: Make This Spread Pick at BetMGM Before It Shortens
Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: Daniel Jones (left), Saquon Barkley (right).
I know the age-old rule of "If the line seems too good to be true, it is," but sometimes bookmakers and the sharps just simply outsmart themselves.
They did it last week when the Jacksonville Jaguars were favored against the New York Giants. The wise guys were all over the Jaguars -3.5 because it's cool to look like a contrarian.
The Giants won 23-17.
Yes, here at the Action Network, we are filled with those types of sharps and I love the data they present. The Giants are by far the luckiest team in the NFL, sure. Their record is a misnomer, the analytics say. All of that stuff is great.
And then comes along a line like Giants +3 at BetMGM against the Seahawks on Sunday.
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Yes, I know.
Quest Field or Century Link or Lumen Field is supposed to be a second Lambeau. The 12th man.
Hey sharps, I got Seattle as 14-17-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2017. What are your numbers?
My guys at the Action Network make the Giants a dog, but at +1.9. So +3 is good value, no?
And say what you want to say about Daniel Jones, but he's 15-6 against the spread on the road or at a neutral venue. That's NUMBER 2 OUT OF 87 QUARTERBACKS SINCE 2019!
Will leave you with this: Teams winning at least 80% of their games entering their eighth game are 11-1 against the spread since 2012.
OK, I'll admit, Geno Smith has messed me up this year. Especially as a Jets fan.
But being a Jets fan, it should mean more that I'm telling you: Go to BetMGM and bet Giants +3. Hurry up before it shortens.