Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will You Win Your Week 10 Fantasy Football Matchup?
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tevin Coleman
- Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Seahawks and 49ers players scoring enough points to win your Week 10 fantasy football matchups.
Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what’re your chances for a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 20 points from Tevin Coleman? He has a 10.70% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I’ll touch on:
- Seahawks: Russell Wilson, Chris Carson, Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf, Josh Gordon, Jacob Hollister
- 49ers: Jimmy Garoppolo, Tevin Coleman, Matt Breida, Emmanuel Sanders, Deebo Samuel, Ross Dwelley
Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)