3 Vikings vs. Cowboys Prop Bets & Picks for Sunday Night Football
Jeff Hanisch-USA Today Sports. Pictured: Dalvin Cook.
- Mike Randle highlights three NFL prop bets for Vikings-Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.
- Find his picks on reception props for Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel Elliott and Jason Witten.
NFL player prop bets offer tremendous value on the board every week. They receive less action and money than NFL sides and totals, opening up attractive opportunities for bettors.
One of the best resources to help determine which prop bets to wager on is our FantasyLabs Player Props tool.
We leverage the listed prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.
Each prop bet receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.
My Sunday night prop bets have hit at a 76.9% (20-6) rate this season. Let’s take a look at three props offering value for the Sunday Night Football game between the Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys.
Vikings vs. Cowboys Prop Bets
Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott
The Pick: Over 2.5 Receptions (-200)
Bet Quality: 9/10
The Cowboys’ All-Pro running back has not been used in the passing game as much as last season. His targets per game have dropped from 6.1 to 3.9, and his receptions have decreased to just 3.1 per game.
However, look for Dallas to get Elliott involved early in both the running and passing games against a strong Minnesota defense.
Prior to last week, Elliott saw consecutive games of at least six targets. He tallied 11 total receptions in those two contests after just 12 total receptions over his first five games.
Elliott’s zero targets against the Giants was purely due to game script, and it’s unlikely that will continue against the Vikings’ ninth-best run defense.
Our projection of 3.4 receptions is 16% over the implied total of 2.9 receptions. I’m betting this 10-rated prop even with the high juice.
Since the start of the season, props with a grade of 9 have gone 147-104-5 (57.4% win rate).
Cowboys TE Jason Witten
The Pick: Over 4.0 Receptions (-114)
Bet Quality: 9/10
Death, taxes and Jason Witten against the Giants. The Cowboys’ 37-year-old tight end produced another strong performance at New York, tallying eight receptions for 58 receiving yards.
But against a Minnesota defense that ranks sixth with an average of 3.1 sacks per game, look for Witten to limit his routes run and provide extra protection for quarterback Dak Prescott.
Prior to last week, Witten produced just one game with more than four receptions and three games below that number. With fellow tight end Blake Jarwin coming off back-to-back games with a touchdown catch, Witten’s target share should start to drop as the season moves on.
Our FantasyLabs projection of 3.4 receptions is 15% below his implied total.
Vikings RB Dalvin Cook
The Pick: Over 3.5 Receptions (-143)
Bet Quality: 7/10
This 7-rated prop on Sunday Night Football has the fourth-best implied total difference on the prop bets list.
The Vikings will again be without wide receiver Adam Thielen, giving more of a receiving opportunity to Cook. The Vikings’ third-year running back has consecutive games with six and seven targets, respectively. Those are also the two games the Vikings played without Thielen for the majority of offensive sets.
Dallas’ run defense has been very efficient, allowing the seventh-fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs. With the Cowboys’ pass defense focusing on wide receiver Stefon Diggs, there should be ample opportunity for Cook to reach the over on this prop.
I will bet on Cook reaching the four receptions necessary to cash this total. Cook has reached this number in five of his last seven games.
I would bet this 7-rated prop up to -150.