2024 Presidential Election Odds: Donald Trump Becomes Odds-On Favorite

2024 Presidential Election Odds: Donald Trump Becomes Odds-On Favorite article feature image

Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Donald Trump celebrates his New Hampshire primary victory as according to the 2024 presidential election odds he has now become the odds-on favorite to win the presidency.

Former president Donald Trump is now the odds-on favorite to win the 2024 United States presidential election, according to the latest 2024 presidential election odds after the New Hampshire Republican primary.

Trump had been +100 entering the New Hampshire primary, and after his win in the state on Tuesday, January 23, Trump is now -118 to win the general election in November. Trump's -118 odds to win the presidency equate to a 45.47% chance of victory.

This is the first time Trump has been the odds-on favorite to win the 2024 presidential election.

Current president Joe Biden is next on the 2024 presidential election odds. Biden's odds to win reelection are +150, a 33.60% chance of victory in November.

2024 Presidential Election Odds

CandidateOddsChance to Win Election
Donald Trump-11845.47%
Joe Biden+15033.60%
Michelle Obama+20004.00%
Gavin Newsom+25003.23%
Nikki Haley+30002.71%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.+33002.47%
Dean Phillips+5000 1.65%
Kamala Harris+50001.65%
Michael Bloomberg+100000.83%
Tim Scott+100000.83%
Hillary Clinton+150000.56%
Liz Cheney+200000.42%
Tucker Carlson+200000.42%
Joe Rogan+250000.33%
Marianne Williamson+250000.33%
Mitt Romney+250000.33%
Sean Hannity+250000.33%
Tulsi Gabbard+250000.33%
Kanye West+50000 0.17%
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson+500000.17%
Mark Cuban+500000.17%

Odds via BetMGM UK. Implied probability is "fair" implied probability, without the vigorish. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States.

After consecutive defeats in the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primaries, Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley has seen her 2024 presidential election odds fall from +1200 all the way to +3000.

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