Two European contenders clash in a crucial Champions League group stage match when Marseille (3-3-0) hosts Liverpool (4-2-0) on Wednesday, with kickoff set for 3:00 p.m. ET at the Orange Velodrome in Marseille, France.
With a spot in the knockout rounds on the line, this matchup features a French offensive powerhouse against an English giant struggling for consistency.
Liverpool is a 50-cent favorite to win at Fanatics Markets, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals.
Let's get into my Liverpool vs. Marseille prediction.
Liverpool vs. Marseille Prediction
Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes
My Liverpool vs. Marseille best bet is for both teams to score. These clubs possess significant offensive talent but have displayed defensive frailties, especially in European competition, which should lead to goals at both ends of the field.
Liverpool vs. Marseille Odds
Liverpool vs. Marseille Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Both Teams to Score – Yes
Leg 2: Draw – 26 cents at Fanatics Markets
The primary angle for this Marseille vs Liverpool pick is the clear contrast between offensive production and defensive solidity for both sides.
Marseille has established itself as the top-scoring team in Ligue 1, with an impressive average of 2.3 goals per game and a team conversion rate of 18%.
They have found the back of the net in all but one of their six Champions League contests this season. However, their defense has not been as reliable, as they have kept just one clean sheet across those same six European matches.
On the other side, Liverpool presents a similar profile. The Reds have immense offensive firepower, evidenced by a 14.2 expected goals (xG) figure in the Champions League that ranks among the competition's elite. They have failed to score in just two of their last 10 competitive road games.
Defensively, however, the story is different. While they have seven clean sheets in domestic play, that number drops to just two in six European games.
This defensive vulnerability, combined with Marseille's potent attack, creates a strong case for both teams to get on the scoreboard.
Liverpool vs. Marseille Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 21.6% | 25.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | 3.18 | 1.29 |
Liverpool vs. Marseille Betting Analysis
This match carries significant weight for both clubs as they chase automatic qualification for the Champions League knockout stage.
Marseille enters this contest on a two-game winning streak in the competition, while Liverpool aims to translate its long unbeaten streak into more definitive victories.
While Liverpool is technically unbeaten in its last 12 matches, the team has only won half of those games. Recent results, such as a frustrating 1-1 draw at home against relegation-threatened Burnley, highlight an inability to secure wins.
This trend of draws, which has occurred in four of their last five contests, makes the odds on another tie an intriguing value play. Liverpool's defense has been a particular point of concern, with only two clean sheets in their last seven games overall.
Marseille, under the guidance of manager Roberto De Zerbi, employs an aggressive, attack-first style. They are unlikely to sit back in a defensive shell, which should create an open and entertaining game.
This approach has served them well at home, where they have an excellent record in both domestic and European play this season.
The head-to-head history favors the English side, as Liverpool has won the last three encounters. However, the most recent of those games was in 2008, making its relevance to this current matchup minimal.
Given Liverpool's recent struggles to close out matches and Marseille's high-powered offense, this contest appears much more balanced than historical results suggest.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Marseille vs Liverpool picks.
