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Poland vs Saudi Arabia World Cup Odds, Pick, Prediction | 2022 World Cup Match Preview

Poland vs Saudi Arabia World Cup Odds, Pick, Prediction | 2022 World Cup Match Preview article feature image
Credit:

Jam Media/Getty. Pictured: Wojciech Szczesny.

  • Poland is favored to beat Saudi Arabia at the World Cup
  • Will they be able to secure a positive result?
  • See where Brett Pund believes the betting value lies.

Poland vs. Saudi Arabia Odds

Saturday, Nov. 26
8 a.m. ET
FS1
Poland Odds -143
Saudi Arabia Odds +375
Draw +250
Over/Under 2.5 (+100 / -125)
Both Teams to Score (Yes/No) (-106 / -125)
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute World Cup odds here.

Following up the biggest upset of the tournament, Saudi Arabia return to action on Saturday as the leaders in Group C, taking on Poland in one of the early matches of the day.

The Asian side was able to score two goals in the second half to secure a pivotal victory in their opening fixture against Argentina.

Meanwhile, the Polish team was held to a scoreless draw with Mexico, missing a late penalty in a golden opportunity for three points.

After the opening set of results, this game now has major significance for both countries, and we should see two sides pushing for a result.

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Poland in Desperate Need of a Performance

In the 56th minute of the game against Mexico, superstar striker Robert Lewandowski won his side a penalty kick after VAR ruled that he was fouled in the box.

However, Lewandowski, who has been on great form at Barcelona, saw his attempt saved by keeper Guillermo Ochoa, leading to a 0-0 draw and two dropped points.

It was an even match in the end, with each team creating one big scoring chance and finishing with less than 1 xG, according to fotmob.com.

Lewandowski and this Polish side have to rebound in this match as a draw may not be enough to advance following the opening results in the group.

Can Saudi Arabia Follow Up Their Shock?

What does Saudi Arabia have in store as an encore following one of the biggest wins in the country’s history?

Manager Hervé Renard’s team used goals by Saleh Alshehri and Salem Aldawsari to claim a second-half comeback win against one of the tournament favorites in Argentina.

The Saudi squad did have a bit of luck in the result, losing the battle 2.26-0.15 and failing to secure a ‘big chance.’

But all that mattered was the three points, and the Asian side now has to be dreaming of the knockout rounds after the victory.

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Poland vs. Saudi Arabia Pick

Some folks may be viewing this Saudi Arabia team as the shock team to make a long run in this World Cup, but bet365 is not expecting it to continue here. Poland comes in as the moneyline favorite with -143 odds.

With that said, I feel the betting value is in the total in this match, where I am backing the game to fall under 2.5 goals at -125 for my best bet.

If you look at games played in this calendar year, this same play would have cashed in seven of Poland’s 10 fixtures, including the last five straight.

Meanwhile, the Saudis are also accustomed to lower-scoring affairs, with the Argentina victory snapping a 12-game streak of matches having less than three goals.

The Asian team is going to sit back in a low block, knowing that a point is as good as a win for them. I struggle to see the Polish side being able to create enough chances against this sort of setup.

Another factor at play will be the heat for the first half of this match, which could cause a slower tempo game.

The Pick: Under 2.5 (-125)

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