Premier League Betting Odds, Picks, Preview, Predictions: Our 2 Best Bets, Featuring West Ham United & Everton (March 13)
Craig Mercer/MB Media/Getty Images. Pictured: West Ham United standout Jarrod Bowen celebrates a goal with his teammates.
- We have another busy Sunday in Premier League action on deck.
- Two of the featured matches included West Ham vs. Aston Villa and Everton vs. Wolves.
- Avery Zimmerman takes a deep dive into these contests below and delivers his best bets.
The Sunday Premier League slate includes a couple of matches that have far different implications as we reach the business end of the campaign.
Everton battles Wolves at Goodison Park, with the hope of staving off a relegation battle, while West Ham United continues its push for a European position in its clash with Aston Villa.
Though the stakes are much different, each has fascinating elements to consider.
Here are our two best bets for these key fixtures.
Sunday’s Premier League Best Bets
West Ham vs. Aston Villa Odds
|West Ham Odds||+130|
|Aston Villa Odds||+210|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-115 / -115)|
|Day | Time||Sunday | 10 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||USA Network | fuboTV|
|Odds updated as of Sunday morning via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
Aston Villa has become one of the hottest EPL teams, overcoming early season struggles to stabilize form and now has won three games on the bounce with a 9-0 goal differential.
The Hammers have been solid as of late as well, winning two and drawing two of their last five games, with the lone loss coming to Liverpool. However, they also lost their midweek Europa League home match to Spanish side Sevilla.
As it stands, West Ham is just a few points out of a European spot and a win would go a long way toward keeping that chase alive. Aston Villa is secure with its position in the middle of the table, but that hasn’t stopped the Villans from keeping their intensity high of late.
West Ham has held an expected-goal advantage in each league home game since Dec. 1, and at a generous +130 price, I feel it’s worth taking the chance on the host side after Villa has played as well as it can over recent weeks.
A touch of regression can be expected, giving the edge to West Ham.
Zimmerman’s Pick: West Ham ML (+130)
Everton vs. Wolves Odds
|Over/Under||2.5 (+132 / -165)|
|Day | Time||Sunday | 10 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
|Odds updated as of Sunday morning via PointsBet. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
If I told you at the beginning of the year Everton would be playing Wolves with one team looking to avoid the relegation zone, you likely wouldn’t have believed me if I said that team would be the Toffees.
As it stands, Everton sits just outside the relegation zone with 22 points, while 18th-placed Burnley has 21 points. The Toffees do have a few games in hand on their opponents, but need to start finding results to avoid a seriously stressful situation.
This is a good chance for Everton to pick up its form, playing at home against a Wolves team that’s in a comfortable position. The Toffees maintain a positive xG margin at Goodison Park, but Wolves’ average away xG per match margin is -0.75, and it has far out-performed that metric all year, creating a valuable position on Everton.
At +135, Everton’s 42.5% implied win probability is far less than what it should be, like somewhere around 55 percent.
That said, I’m happy to back the Toffees to find a crucial victory.
Zimmerman’s Pick: Everton ML (+135)