Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace EPL Betting Preview: Latest Premier League Odds, Picks, Predictions & Expert Tips
John Powell/Liverpool FC via Getty Images. Pictured: Liverpool standout Darwin Núñez.
- Liverpool welcomes Crystal Palace to Anfield for Monday’s Premier League clash.
- Mohamed Salah and the Reds are heavy favorites against the Eagles, who lost to Arsenal on debut.
- Jeremy Pond breaks down the matchup below and delivers his two best bets ahead of this meeting.
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Odds
|Crystal Palace Odds||+1400|
|Over/Under||3.5 (+125 / -175)|
|Day | Time||Monday | 3 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||USA Network | fuboTV|
|Odds updated as of Monday morning via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
Liverpool welcomes Crystal Palace to Anfield for Monday’s Premier League clash, featuring clubs seeking their first victory of the campaign.
The Reds, who are one of the two betting favorites to win the league crown, opened with a disappointing 2-2 draw at Fulham. Aleksandar Mitrović bagged his second goal of the match in the 72nd minute before Mohamed Salah tallied the equalizer in the 80th minute to salvage the road draw.
On the other side, the Eagles were flightless on home soil in their 2-0 defeat at the hands of Arsenal. The Gunners, who are one of the top wagering options outside of Liverpool and Manchester City in the title race, kept Wilfried Zaha and the hosts at bay throughout the contest.
That said, let’s see where we can find betting value ahead of this meeting where Liverpool enters as a massive -500 moneyline at most sportsbooks.
There was plenty of hype surrounding the arrival of talisman Darwin Núñez from Portuguese powerhouse Benfica this summer. And, boy, did the Uruguay international deliver at Craven Cottage. He opened his account in the 64th minute against Fulham and continued to wreak havoc on the host’s back line.
Unfortunately, the Reds’ had all sorts of trouble dealing with Mitrović and the Cottagers’ attack, and were fortunate to escape with a point. I’d like to think the perennial EPL title contender will sort out some of the minor defensive issues that have hounded them, but this could be a continuous concern for manager Jürgen Klopp.
Offensively, this team will have no problems scoring goals in bunches. Núñez has already proven to be a more than reliable replacement for the departed Sadio Mané, who left in the offseason on a move to Bayern Munich.
The Reds, who finished with 1.9 xG against the Cottagers, have a ton of options going forward, including Salah, Luis Díaz and Roberto Firmino.
By The Numbers
- 1.4 — Expected goals against for Liverpool in its match against Fulham, which was one of the worst numbers in the metric to kick off the season for any club.
- 3.67 — Combined number of xG (2.12) and xA (1.55) per 90 minutes for Núñez on debut.
If manager Patrick Vieira and the Eagles are going to have any success, they’re going to have to improve off their debut performance. They liked any consistent bite going forward against the Gunners, settling for just two shots on goal in 10 attempts.
Now, Crystal Palace held a 57-43 percent edge in possession, but that stat line is something that holds little to no weight in general the majority of time in my opinion. Honestly, a club can possess the ball as much as it wants, but if you’re not going to produce quality chances from it, the number doesn’t matter much.
The Eagles put themselves in a precarious position in the 20th minute when the visitors struck on a Martinelli goal off a beautifully weighted cross from Oleksandr Zinchenko.
Despite trailing, Crystal Palace struggled to get anything dangerous going from that point forward and finally met its fate when a Marc Guehí own goal in the 85th minute sealed the setback.
By The Numbers
- 0.04 — The ghastly xG/90 stat line accrued by Zaha in the loss to Arsenal.
- 0.44 — Opposite of his teammate (but not something to write home about), Odsonne Édouard led the side in xG/90 minutes in defeat.
Betting Analysis & Picks
Yes, I’m well aware it’s too early for anyone to start worrying about their club’s chances of winning a title.
However, with Manchester City bagging another three points in its match against AFC Bournemouth, Liverpool doesn’t want to fall four — or potentially five — points behind the reigning champion.
That said, I fully expect the host side to drop the hammer against Crystal Palace. So, I’m backing a Single Game Parlay pairing Liverpool on the moneyline with the total clearing 2.5 goals via BetMGM at -150 odds.
The Reds earned 3-0 and 3-1 victories against the Eagles last season, so I’m finding it hard to believe we can’t reach three goals in this latest tussle.
If you’re looking for a prop bet to jump on, take a swing on Núñez to score anytime at +120 odds. Salah is sitting at -110 in the same market, so play the fresh face with the better number entering this showdown.
The Picks: Single Game Parlay — Liverpool ML & Total Over 2.5 Goals (-150) | Darwin Núñez to Score Anytime (+120)
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