Soccer Predictions | West Ham vs Manchester United, Tottenham vs Everton & More
Sebastian Frej/Getty. Pictured: Brennan Johnson.
The majority of eyes might be on the top-of-the-table clash between Liverpool and Arsenal on Saturday, but there's a lot of value elsewhere on a Premier League slate that features six games.
Manager David Moyes hosts his former club when West Ham United welcome visiting Manchester United, and Brazilian World Cup star Richarlison faces his former team when Tottenham host Everton.
Here's some best bets for your Premier League Saturday.
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Soccer Predictions
| West Ham Odds | +160 |
| Manchester United Odds | +160 |
| Draw | +260 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 -150 / +115 |
Manchester United have just one away victory against a side that isn't currently in the relegation places, their expected-goals difference on the road is three worse than West Ham's home margin and their roster is currently depleted by injuries. And yet many books have the odds in this game as basically even.
While it's fair to be a little skeptical of a West Ham side that has outperformed its xG totals to date, it is a phenomenon more common — and I'd argue more sustainable — for deep-lying, counterattacking sides with quality in the final third. Moyes' Hammers have plenty of that, and their best attribute this season is that they aren't content to defend one goal when playing at home.
In fact, every time West Ham earn a Premier League point this season, there's at least two goals scored in the game. I'm tying that trend to a relatively modest price on the home side that owes probably to Manchester United's "big club" status more than their performance.
The play here is a same-game parlay on West Ham to take at least a point while the total goes 1.5 goals at -120 odds and an implied 54.5% probability. It's a similar price to what you'll get on a draw-no-bet wager on the Hammers and, in my opinion, gives you more variety of realistic ways to win.
Pick: West Ham or draw – double chance and total over 1.5 goals, same-game parlay (-120 via BetMGM)
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| Tottenham Odds | -134 |
| Everton Odds | +300 |
| Draw | +320 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 -188 / +140 |
Everton have held less than 40% of the possession in its last six away games in all competitions. And when Spurs have had 60% or more of the ball this season, they often earn points but they rarely pull away from opponents in a manner they have at times when they can play on the counter.
Unless Tottenham get a very early goal — and most likely even if they do — this is a possession dynamic I would expect to repeat itself given how Everton's Sean Dyche and Spurs' Ange Postecoglou manage their respective sides.
That makes this a great spot to play a goal-bands wager on 2 or 3 goals scored at +120 odds. That bet has landed in 11-of-17 league games between these sides in which Spurs or Everton's opponents have kept better than a 60% possession total.
Pick: Multi-goal, 2 or 3 total goals (+120 via Caesars)
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