Which World Cup Players Have the Best Odds to Score a Goal?

Which World Cup Players Have the Best Odds to Score a Goal? article feature image
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Argentina forward Lionel Messi celebrates his goal with forward Julián Álvarez.

Forty-eight nations from every corner of the globe are descending upon three host countries. In what promises to be the biggest World Cup in history, the tournament will showcase a concentration of world-class talent like never before.

Living legends like Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo, now entering the twilight of their illustrious careers, will share the pitch with rising prodigies like Lamine Yamal, who are already eager to leave their mark on the game.

On Polymarket, the premise for traders is remarkably straightforward: back the players who will score at least one goal during the FIFA World Cup 2026.

The Rules Of Engagement

However, it is essential to keep the market's specific rules in mind: goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count, though standard penalties awarded during regular or extra time are perfectly valid.

Naturally, own goals are excluded from the tally.

Beyond those conditions, anything goes. Given the massive scale of the tournament, the list of potential goal scorers is extensive.

So, which names are drawing the most attention and backing from Polymarket traders searching for tournament glory?

World Cup Goal Scorers: Polymarket Odds

Argentina: The Champions Look to Strike Again

Lionel Messi

The defending champs feature three standouts among Polymarket's top selections.

The legendary forward, Messi, needs no introduction, holding a record-breaking eight Ballon d'Or awards.

Having captured titles with Barcelona, Paris Saint-Germain, and Inter Miami, he has mesmerized fans worldwide. Out of his staggering 910 career goals, 115 have been scored in the iconic Albiceleste jersey.

Unsurprisingly, he remains one of the top consensus picks on Polymarket to find the back of the net during this World Cup at 86 cents.

Lautaro Martínez

Currently sitting in fourth place among Argentina's all-time top goalscorers, Lautaro has netted 36 times for his country, even surpassing historical icons like Diego Maradona.

The Inter Milan star is hungry to further cement his legendary status on the global stage.

At this point, Martínez is an 87 cent favorite to score a goal in this tournament.

Julián Álvarez

Rounding out the podium as the third-highest scorer under manager Lionel Scaloni, Álvarez has recorded 14 goals in 51 official appearances.

He is a lethal forward whom no opposing defense can afford to underestimate, making him the third most-popular Argentine target for Polymarket traders at 84 cents.

France: A Powerhouse Primed for Battle

Ousmane Dembélé

Recognized as one of the most naturally talented figures in the European squad, Dembélé represents Paris Saint-Germain at the club level and features prominently for France on the world stage.

While he has scored 7 times across 58 international appearances, he has yet to score a goal in a World Cup tournament.

Will 2026 mark the breakthrough for the gifted 29-year-old? Polymarket traders are heavily leaning toward yes at 86 cents.

Portugal: CR7’s Quest for Eternal Glory

Cristiano Ronaldo

Ronaldo has scored more professional goals than any other player in history, boasting a mind-boggling 973 goals across stints with Real Madrid, Manchester United, Juventus, Al Nassr, and his beloved Portugal.

A true athletic machine and one of the greatest to ever play the sport, he is chasing the single elusive crown missing from his trophy cabinet: the World Cup.

While his age is an undeniable variable, much like Messi's, you can never discount a living legend's capacity to shine.

Currently, 80% of Polymarket traders confidently believe Ronaldo will score at least once in this campaign, viewing it as a highly logical choice.

Netherlands: Seeking the Missing Piece

Cody Gakpo

The Liverpool forward comes off a club season where he scored seven goals.

He aims to translate that dynamic attacking form to the grandest stage of them all. Gakpo maintains an impressive international efficiency rating: he scored three times during the Qatar tournament and has amassed 11 goals in 36 official matches for the Oranje.

Looking to act as the perfect catalyst to drive his country forward, he's an overwhelming favorite on Polymarket, as traders give him an 88% chance to score a goal.

Spain: Redefining the Vanguard

Mikel Oyarzabal

With 52 caps for Spain, Oyarzabal has celebrated 24 international goals, including three goals scored during the Qatar campaign.

The iconic Real Sociedad figure serves as a vital experienced partner alongside the youthful brilliance of Lamine Yamal, spearheading a dangerous Spanish frontline.

He's currently listed at 90 cents to score a goal.

Brazil: The Five-Time Champions' Heavy Hitters

Raphinha

At 29 years old, Raphinha has accumulated over 140 goals in official professional matches.

It is a highly promising track record for a player Brazil hopes can seamlessly bring his sharp La Liga form over to the national team.

Traders on Polymarket have set the market at 86 cents for Raphinha to score.

Neymar Jr.

Having scored 79 goals for his country, Neymar officially surpassed the legendary Pelé’s scoring record for the Brazilian national team.

Neymar is an interesting case, because while he's always a legitimate threat to find the back of the net, he suffered a grade-2 calf strain in the middle of May. Because of that, he didn't play in Brazil's exhibition game against Panama on May 31.

Despite that, Polymarket traders seem to think he has decent value to score at 59 cents. However, compared to his peers, 59 cents seems more like a high-risk, high-reward play instead of a given.

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Pablo PlanovskyVerified Action Expert

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