3 Wednesday WTA French Open Second Round Bets: Is Another Top Seed in Trouble?

May 28, 2019 9:58 AM EDT
Credit:

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Elina Svitolina

  • 2019 French Open betting action rolls along on Wednesday with the first day of the second round on the women's side.
  • Brett Farrenkopf fancies three plays on the red clay, including one fade of another top seed in Paris.

With the first round of the French Open coming to a conclusion, it’s time to look ahead to Day 1 of the WTA second-round on Wednesday. We saw plenty of seeds drop over the first few days (Caroline Wozniacki and Angie Kerber, among others) and one of the favorites in Petra Kvitova bow out due to injury,

I think a few more could stumble in the second-round, including one I’ll be fading tomorrow. I’ll start there and then finish with two favorites I fancy on the women’s side for Wednesday.

Kateryna Kozlova +260 vs. Elina Svitolina

This is primarily a fade of Svitolina, who came into Paris with zero form. She greatly benefited from drawing Venus Williams on Sunday. Williams did not show up, hitting 15 winners to 34 unforced errors. Svitolina could have simply put the ball in the middle of the court and still would have won in straight sets.

Svitolina did finish with a respectable 11:10 winners to unforced errors ratio. She’ll also benefit from two days off to rest her knee. However, I don’t think the rest warrants a price of a -315 favorite.

Kozlova has had a very solid spring on clay, qualifying for all three tournaments she entered. She’s 11-3 so far in 2019 on clay and 10 of those wins were in straight sets, albeit not against the best competition. She did have  one notable win over top-five player Karolina Pliskova a week before Pliskova won the Rome title.

These two have met twice, but both were at ITF level events prior to 2014. There is not much to take away from either of those two Svitolina victories.

Given the fitness concerns of Svitolina, I make her a much shorter -205 favorite. Even if the two days of rest benefit Eli, I can’t pass up the value on Kozlova who actually opened at +290 before taking money. Give me the underdog in this all-Ukrainian affair.

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