Osaka vs Gauff Prediction, Pick, Odds for US Open Fourth Round

Osaka vs Gauff Prediction, Pick, Odds for US Open Fourth Round article feature image
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Photos by Geoff Burke and Mike Frey-Imagn Images

Naomi Osaka and Coco Gauff square off in the fourth round of the US Open on Monday, September 1. The match will tentatively start at 1:10 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Six years after they first met at the US Open, Osaka and Gauff will battle it out, with the latter now as the superior player with more career titles.

Find my US Open Fourth Round preview and Osaka vs Gauff prediction for Monday below.

Quickslip

Naomi Osaka vs Coco Gauff Prediction

  • Osaka vs Gauff Pick: Over 21.5 (-125)

My Osaka vs Gauff best bet is Over 21.5 total games. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live US Open odds page.

Osaka vs Gauff Odds

Naomi Osaka Odds+115
Coco Gauff Odds-150
SpreadOsaka +1.5 (-110), Gauff -1.5 (-130)
Over/Under21.5 (-125o/-115u)
Osaka-Gauff H2H2-3
Time | How to WatchMonday, 1:10 p.m. ET | ESPN
Odds via BetMGM

Naomi Osaka vs Coco Gauff Preview, Prediction

Osaka Betting Preview

Naomi Osaka comforted Coco Gauff after easily defeating her 6-3, 6-0 in their first (and only) US Open encounter back in 2019. That was during Osaka's heyday, the year when Osaka became World No. 1.

Things have changed since then, with Gauff now holding 10 WTA titles compared to Osaka's seven, but the American has only won two Grand Slams, compared to four for Osaka.

Osaka took breaks from her career (for mental health reasons and to have a child) and now ranks 24th on the tour — she hasn't won a title since the 2021 Australian Open. However, she has come back stronger this year, playing in two tournament finals and has performed well this week in New York.

This is her best surface, and it shows. Osaka won her first two matches in straight sets and surprised Daria Kasatkina in three sets, winning the first with a bagel.

Gauff Betting Preview

Coco Gauff is coming off a first-round exit at Wimbledon, and her hard-court season wasn't all that impressive.

She struggled in her debut against Ajla Tomljanovic, prevailing in three sets, but settled down after that with consecutive straight-sets victories in the following rounds.

Gauff had some issues with her serve, racking up double faults in the first two matches, but in her last match, she was in top form and played her best match.

Against a power hitter like Osaka, Gauff will need precision more than ever to keep the rallies going. After all, that was her winning formula against Aryna Sabalenka at the Roland Garros final against Aryna Sabalenka.

Osaka vs Gauff Predictions, Betting Analysis

Osaka hit 20 aces combined in her first three matches and is clearly feeling it. She has already won the US Open twice (2018, 2020) and knows she risks nothing here.

The pressure is on Gauff, who will try to prove her US Open victory in 2023 is not a one-off.

Since that first matchup in 2019, Gauff has defeated Osaka three out of four times. All five of their matches were played on hard courts.

Gauff should be able to handle Osaka, but it won't come easily. With the line at 21.5, look for the over.

Pick: Over 21.5 (-125, BetMGM)

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