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Wednesday’s Lead: PGA Championship Preview, Valuable NFL Win Totals, More

Aug 08, 2018 10:19 AM EDT

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GOLF: Putting In Puddles

Mother Nature’s making it rain like a Puff Daddy video in the suburbs of St. Louis, which means players long off the tee who hit wedges higher than the host city’s Gateway Arch are in prime position to compete this weekend. For your wagering convenience, we put together a betting guide jam-packed with analysis and tips for the top 80 players in the field, Jason Sobel followed that up with rankings for each player from 1-156, and our golf gurus picked out their favorite bets at Bellerive

Longshots
Joshua Perry likes a few players north of a 100-1 this weekend. Ian Poulter especially

Shampoo, Then Condition
As we noted with the mediocre Puff Daddy line in the first paragraph, it’s been rainy in Missouri. Which players do the soggy conditions help the most? Jason Sobel outlines several, but thinks Rory has the most to gain


NFL: A Winning Win Total Formula

Our Action Network simulations have identified 16 NFL season win total bets with value. Using the same analysis last season, our top four plays went 4-0 and value bets finished 10-2 overall. What are you waiting for? Put your life savings on the Dolphins to win under than 6.5 games and call it a day…

Knock Knock
HBO’s Hard Knocks debuted last night with the aforementioned Browns as this year’s preseason protagonists. John Ewing ran the numbers, and found value betting against teams that appear on the show, but not for the reason you’d think

Fantasy Football
Our experts went back into their laboratories and cranked out their first top-200 list for standard fantasy football leagues. Gurley, Bell, Elliott, Johnson, Brown, and then…


Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports; Pictured: Penn State Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin

NCAAF: Best (and Worst) Coaches Against the Spread

Coaches at every level, in every sport, know the spread heading into a game. They might deny it, but we know they know. Danny Donahue looks at the coaches with the best (and worst) records ATS, and finds surprising names on both sides

Heisman Hype
A piece of advice when looking at preseason Heisman favorites: don’t bet on them

Podcast: Breaking Down the ACC
It’s already been an interesting week for the ACC with UNC announcing its 13 suspensions. Collin Wilson and Stuckey talk into microphones to preview one of the country’s more interesting conferences


ACTION ITEMS

Premier League: Dan McGuire talks Manchester City repeat, first coach to get fired, relegation odds, and estimates how many potential tonsil hockey partners slide into Harry Kane DMs on a daily basis in this excellent Premier League preview

Directional Michigan SchoolsCentralWesternEastern, they love naming schools after directions in Michigan. What’s interesting about this year is that the least heralded of the three has the best chance of causing some trouble in the MAC…

Bills Collector: With a rookie and AJ McCarron as their quarterback options, lots of bettors are pessimistic about Buffalo’s chances this season. Danny Donahue, however, sees over value in the Bills’ season win total

A Weird Under Moose: How does a 10-7 game qualify as a tough loss for under bettors? Here’s how

Credit:

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports; Pictured: Bryson DeChambeau

Follow Tim Livingston on Twitter
@timlikessports

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