Koerner: How I’m Betting Tuesday’s Sparks-Mystics Matchup

Credit:

Photo Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Candace Parker

Jun 18, 2019, 10:00 AM EDT
  • In Tuesday's WNBA affair (10:30 p.m. ET, CBS), the 4-3 Washington Mystics will travel to L.A. to take on the 4-3 Sparks.
  • Using his WNBA power ratings, Sean Koerner gives his projected spread and total for the game so bettors can find immediate value when sportsbooks post odds.

Editor’s note: This story was published before odds posted, but features Koerner’s projected spread and total, and what he’s looking to bet.

Candace Parker is set to make her 2019 debut against the Mystics. While she may not be in her prime at 33 this season, I still have her being worth around 2 to 2.5 points on the spread. She’s likely going to be eased back from her hamstring injury, so for her return I’m giving the Sparks a 1.5-point boost.

She’s solid on both ends of the floor, so her impact on the total is negated a bit. The Sparks are eager to brush off their embarrassing seven-point loss to the Liberty at home. Look for the entire team to be up for this game and motivated by Parker’s return.

The Mystics suspended Emma Meesseman due to passport issues a few games back. She’s their second-leading scorer, and I had originally pegged her loss being worth only 1 to 1.5 points on the spread and total for the Mystics.

The Mystics were able to beat up on the two worst teams in the league without her in the lineup but have struggled in their last two games against better competition. The under has hit with ease in their last three, so it’s a trend worth factoring in against the Sparks.

Get the EDGE

Unlock The Action EDGE

Unlock for Koerner's Sparks-Mystics projected spread and total + get all the benefits of EDGE.

Get the EDGE
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Koerner on Twitter
@The_Oddsmaker

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories