Collin Wilson

Collin Wilson

2295 Posts
Collin Wilson
2295 Posts
Role
Senior Betting Analyst
Experience
15 years
Location
Arkansas
Total Bets
10.4K
Followers
517.5K

Summary

Collin Wilson is a driving force behind the Action Network’s college football vertical, from written content to originating the Power Ratings for the award-winning Action Network app. His CFB expertise has led him to become a voter for the Heisman Trophy, the Biletnikoff Award and many other College Football Post Season Awards.

He's also a co-host of the Big Bets on Campus podcast, where you can hear him regularly throughout the week with fellow contributors such as Stuckey.

Additionally, Collin contributes in college basketball, college baseball, MLB, WWE and the Academy Awards.

You can also see Collin on the BBOC YouTube show every Saturday during the college football season.

Experience

Collin is a senior writer for the Action Network, but serves in various roles behind the scenes as well.

As someone who specializes in data visualization of probabilities, power ratings, and head-to-head matchups, Collin’s work within the college football space powers the Action Network’s PRO projections throughout the college football season, and has done so since the birth of the app in 2017.

Collin contributes similarly to the college basketball vertical, and his passion for predictive analytics have led him to become a key force in finding betting edges in more niche markets such as professional wrestling and entertainment awards.

Prior to joining Action Network in 2018, Collin had featured college football content with The Athletic while maintaining a career in software consulting.

Education

Collin has a BA and Masters in Computer Engineering from the University of Arkansas.

More from Collin Wilson
Northwestern Betting Preview: Two Big Games You Should Bet Pat's Cats ImageNCAAF

Northwestern Betting Preview: Two Big Games You Should Bet Pat's Cats

Collin Wilson
Jan 15, 2025 UTC
...
77

Collin Wilson's Picks

Today
Project 50.5; UConn advantages in Pass EPA, UMass could get Watson back (questionable)
123
48
UCONN -14-119
MASS
MASS Team Abbreviation@UCONN Team Abbreviation
UCONN
0.6u
10/23 11:00 PM
Project UConn -15.5; Both Pop Watson and Aedan McCarthy doubtful on short week travel
148
33
Pending
TLSA +1-110
ARMY
ARMY Team Abbreviation@TLSA Team Abbreviation
TLSA
1.1u
10/24 12:30 AM
Project Tulsa -2.5; The Golden Hurricanes 3rd straight triple option offense to face (Navy, Rice). Both teams heavy Rush explosive advantages. Tulsa the better red zone and 3rd down defense
148
67
Over 43-110
AFA
AFA Team Abbreviation@WYO Team Abbreviation
WYO
1.1u
10/24 1:00 AM
Project 54; Both teams with dominate advantages in the offensive rush attack. Wyoming 130th in Rush EPA allowed. Air Force outside the top 100 in defensive finishing drives
262
52
RICE +9-110
RICE
RICE Team Abbreviation@FAU Team Abbreviation
FAU
1.1u
10/24 4:00 PM
Project FAU -9; Owls were destroyed by Army triple, averaged 8 yards a carry
78
32
CIN +11.5-112
TTU
TTU Team Abbreviation@CIN Team Abbreviation
CIN
1.12u
10/24 4:00 PM
From BBOC Podcast
92
34
Under 59.5-118
WVU
WVU Team Abbreviation@TCU Team Abbreviation
TCU
1.1u
10/24 4:00 PM
Project 53.5; TCU no methodical or explosive run game, Craig short passing will move the chains. WVU against TCU D 10th in Rush success rate and EPA.
148
52
TCU -9.5-108
WVU
WVU Team Abbreviation@TCU Team Abbreviation
TCU
1.08u
10/24 4:00 PM
Project TCU -10.5; WVU run concepts play in favor of the TCU defense, 10th in defensive rushing success rate
130
47
BAY -115
BAY
BAY Team Abbreviation@KU Team Abbreviation
KU
1.15u
10/24 5:00 PM
Project Baylor -4; Required if on Baylor Season Win Total Under, projected favorite in 3 games after travel to KU
147
53
Over 50.5-113
ORE
ORE Team Abbreviation@ILL Team Abbreviation
ILL
1.13u
10/24 7:00 PM
Project 59; Raiola should have no issues w Illy D that is bottom 15 against the pass and in Havoc. Oregon defense surrendering too many methodical drives, Illy offense 7th in quality drives
196
54
SC -125 (1Q)
TENN
TENN Team Abbreviation@SC Team Abbreviation
SC
1.25u
10/24 7:30 PM
Full writeup via ActionNetworkHQ
86
38
UCLA -13.5-110
MSU
MSU Team Abbreviation@UCLA Team Abbreviation
UCLA
1.1u
10/24 7:30 PM
Project UCLA -17; hangover for Fitzgerald week after Northwestern. No advantages for Sparty offense to move the ball. Mich State 122nd defensive quality drives and will struggle in the trench v Bruins rush attack
205
63
TEX -3-114
MISS
MISS Team Abbreviation@TEX Team Abbreviation
TEX
1.14u
10/24 11:30 PM
Project Texas -6.5; full writeup Action Network
144
42
Over 53.5-110
MISS
MISS Team Abbreviation@TEX Team Abbreviation
TEX
0.55u
10/24 11:30 PM
Project 54; loss of Simmons lessens pressure, havoc and contain on Trinidad Chambliss.
127
41
TXST -10.5-110
USU
USU Team Abbreviation@TXST Team Abbreviation
TXST
1.1u
10/24 11:30 PM
Project Texas State -15.5; massive success rate and EPA edges on both sides of the ball for the Bobcats
173
51
ARI -10.5-105
ISU
ISU Team Abbreviation@ARI Team Abbreviation
ARI
1.05u
10/24 11:30 PM
Project Arizona -13; Wildcats heavy advantages in defensive EPA, Quality and Finishing Drives
179
52
Over 44.5-112
SYR
SYR Team Abbreviation@UNC Team Abbreviation
UNC
0.56u
10/24 11:30 PM
Project 57; Syracuse 25 seconds per play, top 30 in methodical drive rate.
200
49
Under 41.5-108
NDSU
NDSU Team Abbreviation@UNM Team Abbreviation
UNM
0.54u
10/25 2:00 AM
Project 40.5; Both defenses heavy success in stopping the run concept of opponent rush attack. New Mexico #1 in havoc, should generate a dozen tackles for loss
91
38
UTAH -6.5-110
HOU
HOU Team Abbreviation@UTAH Team Abbreviation
UTAH
1.1u
10/25 2:15 AM
Project Utah -11; massive issues with Houston D when opponents in scoring position - 133rd finishing drives. Utah inside zone should dominate Cougs DL
123
38
Futures
Texas Tech Red Raiders+100
2026 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
3u
Sorsby Eligible for 2026 season
96
27
BYU Cougars+700
2026 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
1u
Coming back on Texas Tech Futures with Soresby announced parting ways with Texas Tech
98
30
Fresno State Bulldogs u6.5-115
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Project 4.5 (11 games). Fresno State replacing multiple units both sides of the ball. TD+ underdogs at USC, Boise, at San Diego State, at Texas State. Would need to sweep the coin tosses: SJST, Rice, Oregon State
118
23
San Diego State Aztecs o6.5-160
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
Project 7.5; four P12 home games. 8 games as a favorite, underdogs to Boise, UCLA. Power rated close to Texas State, but Bobs should take advantage of Aztec secondary in P12 opener
95
23
Texas State Bobcats o6.5+130
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 8.2; Only Fresno, SDSU, Boise to have the secondaries to contain Bobcats offense. Project losses Texas/Boise, only need a single victory in 3 coin flips to get 7 wins: UTSA, SDSU, Wazzu
188
27
Delaware Fightin Blue Hens u5.5+130
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 4.1; two non-con losses coming v Vandy/UVA. Travel to WKU (off a bye) but do host top projected teams at home (FIU, Liberty, Jax State). Defense and OL take a step back. All November games projected within 6 points, allowing easier hedge strategy
98
25
Florida International Panthers o6.5+120
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 8.3; Best secondary in conference, prepared for WKU, MTSU air attacks. Defensive front 7 best outside of Liberty/Jax State. SOW+ with 4 close losses in 2025. Key edge and MLB green dot returnees on D. Panthers do not leave Florida until mid-October. Slot JoJo Stone 2+ yards per route run
147
28
Sam Houston State Bearkats u2.5+140
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 1.9; QB battle with no experience at any position. Play 4 games in a 19 day span in October. Winnable games are Nicholls and short dogs to NMSU, MTSU. Must win all three to lose win total
96
26
North Texas Mean Green o5.5-130
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.6u
Project 7.5; Neil Brown rush attack pulls Jahiem White from WVU at full health. One of the easiest schedules in AAC, wins Houston Christian, Charlotte, Rice, UAB. UNLV travels to Denton after travel to Hawaii
101
18
Navy Midshipmen u7.5+137
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 7.3; Plenty of lost “generational talent” per Newberry. RB/WR room depleted for Wing T. DL will struggle against a number of Rush first offenses. Terrible bye week placement, will play 9 straight games
100
17
Florida Atlantic Owls o6.5+150
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 6.4; Owl Raid gets every piece back QB WR OL. Navy FIU will struggle to keep up in scoring. Wins projected v ULM, Rice. UTSA/Army coverage struggles
73
19
Army Black Knights u7.5+115
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 5.8; project 11 games within a TD. The key to opponents is the ability to stop the flex triple and an offense that can get into Army secondary. Black Knights disadvantages v USF, La Tech, Tulane, FAU, Tulsa, Memphis, Air Force, ECU
109
21
Tulsa Golden Hurricane o5.5-115
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Project 5.7; plenty of upset spots on the schedule. Sandwich games for Arkansas/Navy. Both UNT/FAU to test a Tulsa secondary that is one of the best in AAC. 4 wins coming v SHSU, East TAMU, Rice, Charlotte
102
20
Rice Owls u2.5+210
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 3.6; have Rice as an underdog in 11 games. Houston Christian a win, coin flips against WMU and Tulsa. Both WMU and Tulsa have decent+ defensive front 7’s to stop the Abell shotgun option ground attack
65
19
Tulsa Golden Hurricane+3200
2026 NCAAF American Conference - To Win
1u
Already on Team Total Over; Longshot ticket to go alongside another AAC future
90
25
Memphis Tigers+750
2026 NCAAF American Conference - To Win
2u
Trust in Huff once again. Both Tulane and Memphis have the best defenses in the conference, it the Tigers will enough of an offensive identity to get points on the board
106
22
Penn State Nittany Lions Yes+375
2026 NCAAF To Make The Playoffs
2u
From B1G Podcast: easiest schedule in B1G, continuity on offense w Iowa State players and OC. D’Anton Lynn best DC hire in the offseason. Favored in 11 games, coin flip at Michigan
90
16
Oregon Ducks+800
2026 NCAAF Championship - To Win
2u
From B1G Podcast: Best DL in Lanning’s tenure on the DL in talent, depth and experience. Dante Moore’s elite numbers under pressure with potential best RV WR units in the nation. Project 10.9 wins. Can lose two games and make playoff.
102
25
Iowa Hawkeyes u7.5+120
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 6.71; From B1G Podcast: massive influx of JuCo players to the defense; OL. No great QB portal addition w battle between Hecklinski/Brown. Defensive line is going to struggle to stop any B1G rushing attack
106
21
UCLA Bruins o6.5+110
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 6.9; From B1G Podcast: Nico pressure to sack ratio dip 25% to 18% last year. Wayne Knight (JMU) 3.8 yards after first contact. 5 B1G home games that include Purdue, Sparty and Illy. Expect Chesney to travel well in 3 trips to 2+ east time zones
100
19
USC Trojans u8.5-125
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Project 7.4. Juice at BetMGM. From B1G podcast: USC has been a disaster traveling east in conference play. Maiava took a step back in turnover worthy play rate last season. New DC Gary Patterson took over for bowl games, Trojans missed 18 tackles.
68
19
Nebraska Cornhuskers o6.5+116
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 6.9; From B1G Podcast: New OL Coach from Georgia Tech; positive changes for DC Aurich scheme. Colandrea deep ball/scrambles a positive for Corn offense. Must win one of three coin flips: Washington, Illinois (horrific trenches), Iowa (bottom B1G defensive line)
89
19
Michigan State Spartans u3.5+140
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 2.9; From B1G podcast: Rossi complex defensive scheme for heavy portal ball at all three levels. Wins v Toledo, Eastern Michigan. Coin flip Rutgers. Would need an upset v Illinois or Northwestern to lose ticket
81
25
Texas A&M Aggies o8.5+122
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 9.4; TAMU project as 6-point favorite or more in 8 games. Need one win in 4 coin flips: at LSU, at Bama (TAMU on their 8th game), at OU, Texas. Last two games are hedge
55
17
Georgia Bulldogs+280
2026 NCAAF SEC Conference - To Win
3u
Project 9.3; Georgia has played in the SEC Championship game the last 5 seasons, last 8 if you throw out the pandemic 2020. No Texas, TAMU or LSU on schedule
109
27
Texas Longhorns+800
2026 NCAAF Championship - To Win
2u
Project 8.6; Loaded at every unit on both sides of the ball. Arch committed just one turnover worthy play the second half of 2025. Cam Coleman, Emmett Mosley above 50% in contested catch rate. Raleek Brown elusive, Hollywood Smothers 3.8 yards after first contact. DL and LB best units in SEC. Won’t take SEC Championship wager as Kirby owns Sark.
70
19
Oklahoma Sooners Yes+210
2026 NCAAF To Make The Playoffs
2u
Mateer full strength with renewed weapons on the best SEC defense outside of Texas/Georgia. Just 4 SEC road games w two of them at Miss State and Mizzou. Two games for hedge, OU must win road Florida and hosting TAMU
97
22
Auburn Tigers o6.5-115
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.3u
Project 8.4; USF WB and WR portal influx should blitz the Baylor defense in the opener. Wins coming Baylor, Vandy, Arkansas, at Miss St, Samford. Need a win in one of three coinflips: Florida, at Tenn, LSU
94
23
Ole Miss Rebels u8.5+130
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 7.2; need 5 losses to cash this ticket. Losses expected at Texas, Georgia, at OU. trio to Florida is a hangover after LSU. LSU coin flip, short fav v Vandy make plenty of loss opportunities
47
17
Alabama Crimson Tide u8.5+100
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project sub-7: QB battle in camp, no rushing attack with the departure of Jam Miller. OL rebuild. LB unit depth/rebuild. Potential 6 losses: Underdog to UGA, Underdog to TAMU, Tenn spamming the LBs, at LSU, back to back travel to Vanderbilt, Iron Bowl. FSU beat Bama last year, SCarolina played within a possession two years straight
115
21
Missouri Tigers u6.5+100
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 5.6; Zero pass catchers for Austin Simmons. Defenses will load 8 in the box to stop Hardy. 2 of the top 15 tacklers return. Potential underdogs in 9 games
97
24
Baylor Bears u6.5-170
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.55u
Per BBOC Big 12 Preview; Lagway new system@under Spavital. Defense gets new coordinator Joe Klanderman. Both trenches underwhelming, play the toughest teams in Conference
64
13
Colorado Buffaloes o4.5+125
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Per BBOC Big 12 preview, Project 5.5; GoGo install w Julian Lewis under center. WR Danny Scudero (SJST) major piece to the offense
69
14
TCU Horned Frogs+2200
2026 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
1u
Number at BetMGM. QB Jaden Craig and OC Gordon Sammis to completely change the Frogs offense. One of the best DL in conference, but fresh questions in the secondary. Hedge spots in November v Arizona, KState and Utah
64
11
Clemson Tigers u7.5+120
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
From BBOC ACC Pod, Project 7 wins; best fit for Chad Morris offense is freshman Tait Reynolds. OL moves back to mid-ACC level. DC Tom Allen disaster of 2025. At FSU and South Carolina are hedge spots
71
15
Miami (FL) Hurricanes-140
2026 NCAAF ACC Conference - To Win
2.8u
From BBOC ACC Preview; win total 11 makes extreme low probability of finishing 3rd in conference and missing championship game. Dodge Louisville and SMU on ACC slate
59
22
Arkansas Razorbacks o3.5-160
2026 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
From BBOC SEC Preview
57
12
Florida Gators Yes+205
2026 NCAAF To Make The Playoffs
2u
As discussed on BBOC; expectation of beating Ole Miss and a remaining schedule outside or potential losses to Georgia and Texas
130
24
Past Performance
Yesterday2-0-0100%
2.00u
Last 7 Days17-18-049%
0.51u
Last 30 Days70-66-151%
-1.82u
All Time5232-4933-21950%
57.39u
Top Leagues
NCAAF2351-2040-8553%
177.75u
NCAA_BASEBALL155-131-653%
5.97u
NCAAW3-2-060%
2.00u
UFL3-1-075%
1.50u
UFC1-0-0100%
1.00u
USFL1-0-0100%
0.50u
MLB1150-1158-6848%
0.48u
NBA0-2-00%
-1.55u
NFL303-298-1249%
-17.70u
Golf64-96-639%
-24.40u
NCAAB1194-1199-4149%
-88.81u
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Collin has supported the Kansas City Royals since before he could walk, growing up in Arkansas just a few hours away from Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, the Royals faced Jon Lester and the Athletics in the AL Wild Card game. Collin decided to wager 8 grand to cover the cost of his family seats behind the Royals dugout. The A's had a commanding lead late in the game before Salvador Perez painted the 3rd base line giving Kansas City the win, and an emotional and financial win for Collin.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
As sketched by Action Network with DraftKings in 2020, Collin left his grandmothers birthday party at Chili's when Cincinnati came back to beat Duke in the 2012 Belk Bowl. Collin had a sizable wager, and Duke's lead in the game helped Collin converse with 20 family members to celebrate the 79th birthday of his beloved grandmother. When Travis Kelce his the explosive touchdown, Collin threw a $100 bill on the table and left his family instantly.